← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Wisconsin2.08+3.11vs Predicted
-
2University of Chicago-0.31+5.33vs Predicted
-
3University of Minnesota2.01+1.29vs Predicted
-
4University of Wisconsin3.04-1.31vs Predicted
-
5University of Michigan2.97-2.21vs Predicted
-
6Michigan State University1.36-0.67vs Predicted
-
7Washington University2.25-3.02vs Predicted
-
8Northwestern University1.24-2.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.11University of Wisconsin2.080.1%1st Place
-
7.33University of Chicago-0.310.0%1st Place
-
4.29University of Minnesota2.010.1%1st Place
-
2.69University of Wisconsin3.040.3%1st Place
-
2.79University of Michigan2.970.3%1st Place
-
5.33Michigan State University1.360.1%1st Place
-
3.98Washington University2.250.1%1st Place
-
5.48Northwestern University1.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Bocklet | 10.5% | 13.9% | 15.5% | 15.3% | 17.8% | 15.2% | 9.9% | 1.9% |
| Geoffrey Owens | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 11.1% | 73.8% |
| Emily Oltrogge | 10.3% | 12.8% | 13.4% | 13.3% | 18.0% | 17.9% | 11.7% | 2.6% |
| Laura Wefer | 28.6% | 23.2% | 19.7% | 15.2% | 7.8% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Alex Ramos | 26.4% | 24.5% | 18.8% | 13.6% | 9.5% | 5.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Bill Weiland | 5.3% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 11.5% | 14.0% | 19.5% | 27.2% | 8.5% |
| Nathan Ross | 13.2% | 13.2% | 15.3% | 19.3% | 14.1% | 12.1% | 10.5% | 2.3% |
| Noah Rosenthal | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 15.1% | 21.5% | 26.7% | 10.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.