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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan2.97+1.70vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin3.04+0.67vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin2.08+1.18vs Predicted
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4University of Minnesota2.01+0.33vs Predicted
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7Michigan State University1.36-1.64vs Predicted
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8Washington University2.25-4.16vs Predicted
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9Northwestern University1.24-3.42vs Predicted
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10University of Chicago-0.31-2.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.7University of Michigan2.970.3%1st Place
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2.67University of Wisconsin3.040.3%1st Place
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4.18University of Wisconsin2.080.1%1st Place
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4.33University of Minnesota2.010.1%1st Place
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5.36Michigan State University1.360.1%1st Place
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3.84Washington University2.250.1%1st Place
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5.58Northwestern University1.240.0%1st Place
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7.35University of Chicago-0.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Ramos | 28.7% | 23.5% | 19.6% | 13.5% | 8.7% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Laura Wefer | 27.9% | 25.8% | 18.3% | 14.5% | 8.3% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Charles Bocklet | 10.8% | 12.1% | 13.6% | 18.3% | 17.0% | 15.9% | 9.8% | 2.5% |
| Emily Oltrogge | 9.1% | 11.8% | 14.1% | 15.8% | 17.8% | 16.6% | 12.1% | 2.7% |
| Bill Weiland | 5.0% | 5.2% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 15.1% | 21.8% | 25.6% | 8.5% |
| Nathan Ross | 12.8% | 14.9% | 17.8% | 16.1% | 17.1% | 12.9% | 6.8% | 1.6% |
| Noah Rosenthal | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 12.4% | 19.8% | 29.8% | 12.1% |
| Geoffrey Owens | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 12.8% | 72.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.