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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin2.08+2.92vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin3.04+0.53vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan2.97-0.35vs Predicted
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4Washington University1.78+0.52vs Predicted
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5Michigan State University1.36+0.17vs Predicted
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6University of Minnesota2.01-1.93vs Predicted
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7Northwestern University1.27-1.69vs Predicted
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11University of Chicago-1.76-3.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.92University of Wisconsin2.080.1%1st Place
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2.53University of Wisconsin3.040.3%1st Place
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2.65University of Michigan2.970.3%1st Place
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4.52Washington University1.780.1%1st Place
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5.17Michigan State University1.360.1%1st Place
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4.07University of Minnesota2.010.1%1st Place
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5.31Northwestern University1.270.1%1st Place
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7.83University of Chicago-1.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Bocklet | 12.2% | 13.3% | 17.5% | 16.5% | 18.0% | 13.1% | 8.9% | 0.5% |
| Laura Wefer | 30.1% | 27.1% | 18.9% | 12.7% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Alex Ramos | 28.8% | 24.5% | 19.0% | 14.5% | 8.4% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| James Harvey | 7.7% | 10.2% | 12.3% | 15.8% | 18.9% | 17.8% | 16.0% | 1.3% |
| Bill Weiland | 5.0% | 5.6% | 8.8% | 12.9% | 14.1% | 25.0% | 26.5% | 2.1% |
| Emily Oltrogge | 10.8% | 13.2% | 16.1% | 15.8% | 17.9% | 15.1% | 10.4% | 0.7% |
| Jacob Bruce | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 10.9% | 14.8% | 20.6% | 31.9% | 3.5% |
| Connor Lynch | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 4.4% | 91.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.