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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan2.97+1.59vs Predicted
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2Michigan State University1.36+3.17vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin3.04-0.48vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin2.08+0.03vs Predicted
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5Washington University1.78-0.51vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University1.27-0.79vs Predicted
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7University of Minnesota2.01-2.83vs Predicted
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11University of Chicago-1.76-3.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.59University of Michigan2.970.3%1st Place
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5.17Michigan State University1.360.1%1st Place
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2.52University of Wisconsin3.040.3%1st Place
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4.03University of Wisconsin2.080.1%1st Place
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4.49Washington University1.780.1%1st Place
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5.21Northwestern University1.270.1%1st Place
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4.17University of Minnesota2.010.1%1st Place
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7.83University of Chicago-1.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Ramos | 29.8% | 27.4% | 17.2% | 12.1% | 7.8% | 4.4% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Bill Weiland | 5.7% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 11.6% | 14.8% | 23.5% | 26.2% | 3.6% |
| Laura Wefer | 30.9% | 25.2% | 20.3% | 13.0% | 7.5% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Charles Bocklet | 10.4% | 13.5% | 15.9% | 17.8% | 17.8% | 15.2% | 8.9% | 0.5% |
| James Harvey | 7.4% | 10.1% | 13.0% | 16.0% | 19.8% | 17.4% | 15.5% | 0.8% |
| Jacob Bruce | 5.4% | 5.3% | 9.0% | 12.7% | 14.1% | 19.9% | 31.4% | 2.2% |
| Emily Oltrogge | 10.3% | 11.5% | 16.1% | 16.4% | 17.3% | 16.0% | 11.8% | 0.6% |
| Connor Lynch | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 3.8% | 92.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.