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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan2.97+1.70vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin2.08+2.19vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin3.04-1.38vs Predicted
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5University of Minnesota2.01-0.67vs Predicted
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6Michigan State University1.36-0.63vs Predicted
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7Northwestern University1.24-1.50vs Predicted
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8Washington University2.25-4.07vs Predicted
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11University of Chicago-0.31-3.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.7University of Michigan2.970.3%1st Place
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4.19University of Wisconsin2.080.1%1st Place
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2.62University of Wisconsin3.040.3%1st Place
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4.33University of Minnesota2.010.1%1st Place
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5.37Michigan State University1.360.1%1st Place
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5.5Northwestern University1.240.0%1st Place
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3.93Washington University2.250.1%1st Place
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7.35University of Chicago-0.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Ramos | 28.3% | 26.0% | 17.8% | 12.3% | 8.9% | 4.9% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Charles Bocklet | 10.6% | 12.2% | 14.2% | 17.2% | 16.8% | 16.3% | 10.5% | 2.2% |
| Laura Wefer | 29.0% | 24.5% | 20.6% | 13.0% | 8.3% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Emily Oltrogge | 9.1% | 11.3% | 15.2% | 15.1% | 17.5% | 17.2% | 12.0% | 2.6% |
| Bill Weiland | 5.0% | 5.0% | 8.1% | 11.8% | 14.4% | 20.0% | 27.4% | 8.3% |
| Noah Rosenthal | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 11.4% | 14.7% | 18.4% | 26.8% | 12.3% |
| Nathan Ross | 12.7% | 14.6% | 15.6% | 16.3% | 17.0% | 14.0% | 8.2% | 1.6% |
| Geoffrey Owens | 0.6% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 6.1% | 12.1% | 72.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.