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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin2.08+3.00vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin3.04+0.56vs Predicted
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3Washington University1.78+1.58vs Predicted
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4University of Minnesota2.01+0.19vs Predicted
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5University of Michigan2.97-2.29vs Predicted
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6University of Chicago-0.31+1.32vs Predicted
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7Michigan State University1.36-1.69vs Predicted
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8Northwestern University1.27-2.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.0University of Wisconsin2.080.1%1st Place
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2.56University of Wisconsin3.040.3%1st Place
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4.58Washington University1.780.1%1st Place
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4.19University of Minnesota2.010.1%1st Place
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2.71University of Michigan2.970.3%1st Place
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7.32University of Chicago-0.310.0%1st Place
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5.31Michigan State University1.360.1%1st Place
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5.34Northwestern University1.270.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Bocklet | 12.2% | 13.3% | 15.8% | 17.4% | 16.7% | 13.8% | 9.0% | 1.8% |
| Laura Wefer | 31.4% | 23.2% | 21.2% | 12.0% | 7.8% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| James Harvey | 7.3% | 11.5% | 12.6% | 14.2% | 17.0% | 17.9% | 15.8% | 3.7% |
| Emily Oltrogge | 10.3% | 13.3% | 13.4% | 17.4% | 16.5% | 16.4% | 10.4% | 2.3% |
| Alex Ramos | 27.5% | 24.7% | 17.8% | 15.7% | 9.3% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Geoffrey Owens | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 6.7% | 12.4% | 71.4% |
| Bill Weiland | 5.4% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 14.4% | 19.1% | 25.1% | 10.5% |
| Jacob Bruce | 5.1% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 11.5% | 15.2% | 19.4% | 25.0% | 9.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.