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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan2.97+1.61vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin2.08+2.05vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin3.04-0.45vs Predicted
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4Washington University1.78+0.59vs Predicted
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5University of Minnesota2.01-0.76vs Predicted
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6University of Chicago-0.31+1.32vs Predicted
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7Michigan State University1.36-1.70vs Predicted
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9Northwestern University1.27-3.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.61University of Michigan2.970.3%1st Place
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4.05University of Wisconsin2.080.1%1st Place
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2.55University of Wisconsin3.040.3%1st Place
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4.59Washington University1.780.1%1st Place
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4.24University of Minnesota2.010.1%1st Place
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7.32University of Chicago-0.310.0%1st Place
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5.3Michigan State University1.360.1%1st Place
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5.34Northwestern University1.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Ramos | 29.3% | 26.1% | 19.6% | 11.5% | 8.5% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Charles Bocklet | 11.4% | 11.7% | 16.9% | 17.9% | 17.7% | 13.0% | 9.3% | 2.1% |
| Laura Wefer | 31.1% | 24.4% | 19.9% | 13.5% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| James Harvey | 7.9% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 14.9% | 18.6% | 17.7% | 15.3% | 3.7% |
| Emily Oltrogge | 9.2% | 12.1% | 14.7% | 17.7% | 17.0% | 16.7% | 10.1% | 2.5% |
| Geoffrey Owens | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 6.0% | 12.2% | 71.9% |
| Bill Weiland | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 13.0% | 20.1% | 25.6% | 9.8% |
| Jacob Bruce | 4.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 11.4% | 15.7% | 19.4% | 25.0% | 9.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.