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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin3.04+1.60vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan2.97+0.80vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University1.24+2.48vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin2.08+0.19vs Predicted
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5University of Minnesota2.01-0.70vs Predicted
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6Michigan State University1.36-0.69vs Predicted
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7Washington University2.25-3.03vs Predicted
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8University of Chicago-0.31-0.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.6University of Wisconsin3.040.3%1st Place
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2.8University of Michigan2.970.3%1st Place
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5.48Northwestern University1.240.0%1st Place
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4.19University of Wisconsin2.080.1%1st Place
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4.3University of Minnesota2.010.1%1st Place
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5.31Michigan State University1.360.1%1st Place
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3.97Washington University2.250.1%1st Place
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7.36University of Chicago-0.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Laura Wefer | 31.6% | 23.8% | 18.9% | 12.3% | 7.6% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Alex Ramos | 25.2% | 25.3% | 18.6% | 14.6% | 9.5% | 5.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Noah Rosenthal | 4.7% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 12.2% | 19.2% | 29.6% | 10.8% |
| Charles Bocklet | 9.7% | 13.0% | 13.7% | 16.2% | 19.7% | 16.5% | 9.6% | 1.6% |
| Emily Oltrogge | 9.5% | 10.9% | 15.4% | 16.5% | 16.1% | 17.6% | 12.1% | 1.9% |
| Bill Weiland | 5.3% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 12.1% | 15.0% | 18.7% | 24.5% | 10.3% |
| Nathan Ross | 13.2% | 13.4% | 15.2% | 16.9% | 16.8% | 13.7% | 8.7% | 2.1% |
| Geoffrey Owens | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 12.8% | 73.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.