← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Wisconsin2.11+2.41vs Predicted
-
2University of Michigan3.02+0.23vs Predicted
-
3Northwestern University1.16+2.01vs Predicted
-
4Washington University1.30+0.82vs Predicted
-
5University of Wisconsin1.92-1.17vs Predicted
-
6University of Minnesota2.13-2.55vs Predicted
-
8Michigan State University0.66-2.21vs Predicted
-
10University of Chicago-0.92-2.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.41University of Wisconsin2.110.2%1st Place
-
2.23University of Michigan3.020.4%1st Place
-
5.01Northwestern University1.160.1%1st Place
-
4.82Washington University1.300.1%1st Place
-
3.83University of Wisconsin1.920.1%1st Place
-
3.45University of Minnesota2.130.2%1st Place
-
5.79Michigan State University0.660.0%1st Place
-
7.46University of Chicago-0.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Soren Walljasper | 16.7% | 17.9% | 20.1% | 16.6% | 15.1% | 9.1% | 3.9% | 0.6% |
| Ryan Seago | 38.8% | 27.8% | 15.5% | 9.9% | 5.9% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Travis Cottle | 6.1% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 16.4% | 22.3% | 20.2% | 5.6% |
| Mary Prothero | 6.9% | 7.4% | 10.9% | 13.9% | 18.7% | 20.6% | 17.5% | 4.1% |
| Whitney Kent | 12.1% | 14.0% | 18.5% | 18.9% | 15.4% | 13.8% | 6.9% | 0.4% |
| Alison Kent | 15.1% | 19.3% | 18.1% | 19.4% | 13.9% | 9.6% | 4.1% | 0.5% |
| Elizabeth Dust | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 11.4% | 17.5% | 36.9% | 12.1% |
| Moritz Matzner | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 10.3% | 76.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.