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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan3.02+1.15vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin2.11+1.50vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin1.92+0.80vs Predicted
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4University of Minnesota2.13-0.48vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University1.16+0.06vs Predicted
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6Washington University1.30-1.22vs Predicted
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9University of Chicago-0.92-1.56vs Predicted
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10Michigan State University0.66-4.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.15University of Michigan3.020.4%1st Place
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3.5University of Wisconsin2.110.1%1st Place
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3.8University of Wisconsin1.920.1%1st Place
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3.52University of Minnesota2.130.1%1st Place
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5.06Northwestern University1.160.1%1st Place
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4.78Washington University1.300.1%1st Place
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7.44University of Chicago-0.920.0%1st Place
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5.76Michigan State University0.660.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Seago | 41.8% | 26.8% | 14.9% | 10.4% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Soren Walljasper | 14.7% | 18.3% | 20.0% | 16.8% | 14.8% | 10.9% | 4.3% | 0.2% |
| Whitney Kent | 13.1% | 15.1% | 15.7% | 19.5% | 15.8% | 13.9% | 6.1% | 0.8% |
| Alison Kent | 14.4% | 18.2% | 18.3% | 19.6% | 15.2% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 0.4% |
| Travis Cottle | 5.4% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 16.3% | 21.5% | 21.4% | 5.8% |
| Mary Prothero | 7.0% | 7.1% | 14.0% | 13.2% | 17.5% | 18.2% | 19.0% | 4.0% |
| Moritz Matzner | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 4.8% | 10.3% | 77.0% |
| Elizabeth Dust | 2.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 13.9% | 20.8% | 32.8% | 11.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.