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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan3.02+1.09vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin2.11+1.32vs Predicted
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3University of Minnesota2.13+0.27vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University1.16+0.73vs Predicted
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5Michigan State University1.06-0.13vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin1.92-2.45vs Predicted
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9University of Chicago-0.92-1.85vs Predicted
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10Washington University-0.83-2.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.09University of Michigan3.020.4%1st Place
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3.32University of Wisconsin2.110.1%1st Place
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3.27University of Minnesota2.130.2%1st Place
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4.73Northwestern University1.160.1%1st Place
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4.87Michigan State University1.060.0%1st Place
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3.55University of Wisconsin1.920.1%1st Place
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7.15University of Chicago-0.920.0%1st Place
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7.04Washington University-0.830.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Seago | 43.2% | 25.4% | 17.8% | 8.4% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Soren Walljasper | 14.8% | 20.0% | 21.1% | 18.6% | 15.5% | 8.6% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Alison Kent | 16.3% | 19.5% | 20.4% | 20.2% | 14.7% | 6.5% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Travis Cottle | 6.0% | 7.1% | 11.2% | 14.5% | 21.6% | 26.5% | 11.1% | 2.0% |
| Matthew Declercq | 4.6% | 7.0% | 10.7% | 13.2% | 20.4% | 29.1% | 12.7% | 2.3% |
| Whitney Kent | 13.9% | 17.7% | 16.4% | 20.4% | 17.9% | 10.8% | 2.6% | 0.3% |
| Moritz Matzner | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 8.4% | 30.4% | 52.7% |
| Riley Muir | 0.4% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 8.8% | 39.3% | 42.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.