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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Minnesota2.13+2.23vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin1.92+1.59vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan3.02-0.90vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin2.11-0.65vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University1.16-0.27vs Predicted
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6Michigan State University1.06-1.17vs Predicted
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8Washington University-0.83-0.95vs Predicted
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10University of Chicago-0.92-2.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.23University of Minnesota2.130.2%1st Place
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3.59University of Wisconsin1.920.1%1st Place
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2.1University of Michigan3.020.4%1st Place
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3.35University of Wisconsin2.110.2%1st Place
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4.73Northwestern University1.160.1%1st Place
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4.83Michigan State University1.060.1%1st Place
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7.05Washington University-0.830.0%1st Place
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7.11University of Chicago-0.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alison Kent | 17.1% | 20.1% | 20.6% | 18.3% | 14.5% | 7.5% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Whitney Kent | 12.7% | 16.4% | 19.9% | 19.2% | 17.3% | 11.2% | 3.2% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Seago | 41.4% | 28.2% | 15.9% | 9.2% | 3.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Soren Walljasper | 15.6% | 19.7% | 19.7% | 17.3% | 16.9% | 8.6% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Travis Cottle | 5.5% | 6.9% | 11.0% | 16.4% | 20.2% | 27.8% | 10.3% | 1.9% |
| Matthew Declercq | 5.8% | 5.9% | 10.3% | 15.4% | 19.2% | 29.3% | 11.2% | 2.9% |
| Riley Muir | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 4.4% | 7.6% | 34.2% | 47.8% |
| Moritz Matzner | 0.3% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 6.8% | 36.9% | 47.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.