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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan3.02+1.15vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin2.11+1.48vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin1.92+0.81vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University1.16+1.04vs Predicted
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5University of Minnesota2.13-1.52vs Predicted
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7Michigan State University0.66-1.27vs Predicted
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8Washington University1.30-3.15vs Predicted
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10University of Chicago-0.92-2.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.15University of Michigan3.020.4%1st Place
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3.48University of Wisconsin2.110.1%1st Place
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3.81University of Wisconsin1.920.1%1st Place
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5.04Northwestern University1.160.1%1st Place
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3.48University of Minnesota2.130.1%1st Place
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5.73Michigan State University0.660.0%1st Place
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4.85Washington University1.300.1%1st Place
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7.46University of Chicago-0.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Seago | 40.8% | 27.6% | 15.7% | 9.5% | 4.4% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Soren Walljasper | 14.9% | 17.7% | 20.1% | 19.5% | 12.6% | 10.8% | 3.9% | 0.5% |
| Whitney Kent | 12.1% | 15.5% | 17.2% | 18.6% | 16.5% | 13.0% | 5.9% | 1.2% |
| Travis Cottle | 5.7% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 12.0% | 16.9% | 21.4% | 22.2% | 4.8% |
| Alison Kent | 14.8% | 18.2% | 20.5% | 16.4% | 15.4% | 10.2% | 4.1% | 0.4% |
| Elizabeth Dust | 4.3% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 8.9% | 14.0% | 17.9% | 33.2% | 12.4% |
| Mary Prothero | 7.1% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 13.4% | 17.3% | 21.1% | 18.7% | 4.3% |
| Moritz Matzner | 0.3% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 11.6% | 76.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.