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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan3.02+1.15vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin1.92+0.82vs Predicted
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4Michigan State University0.66+1.69vs Predicted
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5University of Minnesota2.13-1.48vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin2.11-2.51vs Predicted
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7Washington University1.30-2.21vs Predicted
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8Northwestern University1.16-2.93vs Predicted
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9University of Chicago-0.92-1.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.15University of Michigan3.020.4%1st Place
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3.82University of Wisconsin1.920.1%1st Place
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5.69Michigan State University0.660.0%1st Place
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3.52University of Minnesota2.130.1%1st Place
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3.49University of Wisconsin2.110.2%1st Place
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4.79Washington University1.300.1%1st Place
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5.07Northwestern University1.160.1%1st Place
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7.47University of Chicago-0.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Seago | 42.2% | 26.6% | 15.1% | 8.8% | 5.3% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Whitney Kent | 11.9% | 15.3% | 16.5% | 19.9% | 16.7% | 12.2% | 6.7% | 0.8% |
| Elizabeth Dust | 4.1% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 11.7% | 18.1% | 34.7% | 11.8% |
| Alison Kent | 14.0% | 18.6% | 17.7% | 20.0% | 15.9% | 8.8% | 4.4% | 0.6% |
| Soren Walljasper | 15.1% | 17.9% | 19.8% | 16.7% | 15.1% | 12.0% | 3.0% | 0.4% |
| Mary Prothero | 6.1% | 8.0% | 13.1% | 14.5% | 15.8% | 21.1% | 17.5% | 3.9% |
| Travis Cottle | 6.2% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 16.6% | 22.5% | 21.7% | 5.5% |
| Moritz Matzner | 0.4% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 11.2% | 77.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.