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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan3.02+1.02vs Predicted
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2Michigan State University0.66+3.37vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin1.92+0.53vs Predicted
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4University of Minnesota2.13-0.76vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin2.11-1.76vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University1.16-1.45vs Predicted
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8University of Chicago-0.92-0.91vs Predicted
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10Washington University-0.83-3.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.02University of Michigan3.020.4%1st Place
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5.37Michigan State University0.660.0%1st Place
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3.53University of Wisconsin1.920.1%1st Place
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3.24University of Minnesota2.130.2%1st Place
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3.24University of Wisconsin2.110.2%1st Place
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4.55Northwestern University1.160.1%1st Place
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7.09University of Chicago-0.920.0%1st Place
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6.97Washington University-0.830.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Seago | 44.5% | 26.6% | 15.8% | 9.2% | 3.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Dust | 3.8% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 10.0% | 16.2% | 32.9% | 20.1% | 5.6% |
| Whitney Kent | 13.9% | 15.9% | 18.7% | 20.6% | 19.5% | 8.9% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Alison Kent | 15.2% | 20.1% | 21.4% | 21.4% | 13.6% | 7.0% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Soren Walljasper | 15.4% | 21.1% | 22.0% | 17.0% | 16.0% | 7.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Travis Cottle | 5.8% | 7.8% | 13.0% | 17.5% | 23.3% | 21.6% | 9.8% | 1.2% |
| Moritz Matzner | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 10.2% | 28.9% | 51.4% |
| Riley Muir | 0.5% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 4.6% | 11.3% | 36.2% | 41.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.