← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Michigan3.02+1.03vs Predicted
-
2University of Wisconsin1.92+1.52vs Predicted
-
3University of Minnesota2.13+0.21vs Predicted
-
4University of Wisconsin2.11-0.71vs Predicted
-
5Northwestern University1.16-0.39vs Predicted
-
6Michigan State University0.66-0.71vs Predicted
-
9Washington University-0.83-2.00vs Predicted
-
10University of Chicago-0.92-2.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.03University of Michigan3.020.4%1st Place
-
3.52University of Wisconsin1.920.1%1st Place
-
3.21University of Minnesota2.130.2%1st Place
-
3.29University of Wisconsin2.110.2%1st Place
-
4.61Northwestern University1.160.1%1st Place
-
5.29Michigan State University0.660.0%1st Place
-
7.0Washington University-0.830.0%1st Place
-
7.05University of Chicago-0.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Seago | 44.6% | 26.6% | 15.6% | 9.0% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Whitney Kent | 12.6% | 17.1% | 20.6% | 20.5% | 16.6% | 9.9% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| Alison Kent | 16.2% | 20.6% | 21.8% | 18.6% | 15.2% | 5.8% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Soren Walljasper | 15.2% | 20.7% | 19.3% | 20.9% | 14.9% | 7.0% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Travis Cottle | 5.6% | 7.9% | 12.8% | 14.3% | 24.4% | 24.4% | 8.7% | 1.9% |
| Elizabeth Dust | 4.1% | 4.2% | 7.1% | 11.4% | 18.0% | 32.1% | 17.7% | 5.4% |
| Riley Muir | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 4.6% | 9.8% | 32.3% | 46.7% |
| Moritz Matzner | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 10.1% | 34.6% | 46.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.