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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.92+1.99vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan1.93+1.03vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University1.16+1.23vs Predicted
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4Michigan State University0.66+1.03vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin2.11-2.22vs Predicted
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6Washington University1.30-2.02vs Predicted
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9University of Minnesota-1.01-1.95vs Predicted
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10University of Chicago-0.92-3.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.99University of Wisconsin1.920.2%1st Place
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3.03University of Michigan1.930.2%1st Place
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4.23Northwestern University1.160.1%1st Place
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5.03Michigan State University0.660.1%1st Place
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2.78University of Wisconsin2.110.3%1st Place
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3.98Washington University1.300.1%1st Place
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7.05University of Minnesota-1.010.0%1st Place
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6.92University of Chicago-0.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Whitney Kent | 23.4% | 20.5% | 20.6% | 15.7% | 10.8% | 7.4% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Cyr | 21.7% | 20.4% | 20.2% | 17.5% | 12.6% | 6.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Travis Cottle | 9.7% | 11.8% | 12.4% | 17.6% | 20.2% | 19.2% | 7.1% | 2.0% |
| Elizabeth Dust | 5.2% | 6.7% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 18.1% | 28.4% | 17.8% | 3.4% |
| Soren Walljasper | 26.4% | 23.3% | 18.7% | 15.3% | 11.3% | 4.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Mary Prothero | 10.9% | 14.2% | 14.1% | 18.5% | 19.5% | 16.1% | 5.6% | 1.1% |
| John O'Leary | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 9.0% | 28.8% | 51.5% |
| Moritz Matzner | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 9.5% | 37.2% | 41.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.