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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.92+1.99vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan1.93+1.06vs Predicted
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3Washington University1.30+1.02vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University1.16+0.22vs Predicted
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5Michigan State University0.66-0.03vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin2.11-3.25vs Predicted
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9University of Chicago-0.92-2.03vs Predicted
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10University of Minnesota-1.01-2.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.99University of Wisconsin1.920.2%1st Place
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3.06University of Michigan1.930.2%1st Place
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4.02Washington University1.300.1%1st Place
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4.22Northwestern University1.160.1%1st Place
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4.97Michigan State University0.660.1%1st Place
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2.75University of Wisconsin2.110.3%1st Place
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6.97University of Chicago-0.920.0%1st Place
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7.02University of Minnesota-1.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Whitney Kent | 22.8% | 21.5% | 20.8% | 14.1% | 13.0% | 5.9% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Christopher Cyr | 20.7% | 23.1% | 18.1% | 16.1% | 13.4% | 6.8% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Mary Prothero | 12.4% | 11.8% | 14.1% | 17.8% | 19.8% | 16.7% | 6.1% | 1.3% |
| Travis Cottle | 9.8% | 10.9% | 14.3% | 16.2% | 20.5% | 18.9% | 8.0% | 1.4% |
| Elizabeth Dust | 5.8% | 6.1% | 9.6% | 13.0% | 17.7% | 28.4% | 15.9% | 3.5% |
| Soren Walljasper | 26.1% | 23.4% | 20.1% | 16.4% | 8.9% | 4.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Moritz Matzner | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 10.0% | 31.2% | 47.3% |
| John O'Leary | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 9.0% | 34.8% | 46.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.