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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin2.11+1.94vs Predicted
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2Michigan State University0.66+3.23vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University1.16+1.41vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin1.92-0.75vs Predicted
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7University of Michigan1.93-3.74vs Predicted
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8University of Minnesota2.13-5.08vs Predicted
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9Washington University-0.83-2.02vs Predicted
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10University of Chicago-0.92-2.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.94University of Wisconsin2.110.2%1st Place
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5.23Michigan State University0.660.1%1st Place
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4.41Northwestern University1.160.1%1st Place
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3.25University of Wisconsin1.920.2%1st Place
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3.26University of Michigan1.930.2%1st Place
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2.92University of Minnesota2.130.2%1st Place
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6.98Washington University-0.830.0%1st Place
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7.02University of Chicago-0.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Soren Walljasper | 24.5% | 19.7% | 20.6% | 16.5% | 11.9% | 5.1% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Elizabeth Dust | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 10.4% | 15.5% | 32.3% | 18.8% | 5.1% |
| Travis Cottle | 9.7% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 15.9% | 21.0% | 21.7% | 9.8% | 1.4% |
| Whitney Kent | 18.0% | 19.9% | 17.6% | 19.6% | 15.2% | 8.0% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Cyr | 17.0% | 21.2% | 18.9% | 16.7% | 15.4% | 9.2% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Alison Kent | 23.6% | 20.6% | 21.7% | 16.0% | 12.0% | 5.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Riley Muir | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 4.2% | 9.8% | 32.3% | 46.7% |
| Moritz Matzner | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 8.6% | 33.7% | 46.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.