Race 1A

chris-loder

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

14.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Jennifer Proctor 13.3% 13.2% 12.8% 12.1% 9.0% 9.3% 8.1% 6.8% 5.6% 4.9% 2.7% 1.6% 0.6% 0.0%
William Hutchings 15.1% 13.2% 12.4% 12.9% 10.0% 9.7% 9.0% 6.6% 3.9% 3.4% 2.4% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
Jeff Goodrich 9.4% 8.7% 8.8% 7.8% 9.2% 9.0% 9.5% 7.9% 8.4% 8.1% 6.0% 5.0% 1.7% 0.5%
Christopher Edwards 1.7% 2.5% 2.8% 3.2% 3.7% 4.5% 4.1% 7.2% 6.5% 7.6% 11.2% 16.1% 20.3% 8.6%
Richard Graef 3.6% 4.8% 5.0% 4.3% 8.0% 6.8% 5.6% 8.4% 9.5% 10.0% 11.4% 10.6% 8.5% 3.5%
Bo McClatchy 9.9% 10.3% 9.3% 12.9% 8.3% 9.3% 9.6% 7.4% 7.5% 5.6% 5.0% 3.6% 1.2% 0.1%
Emily Billing 13.5% 13.9% 13.3% 10.2% 10.5% 9.2% 7.7% 7.7% 5.3% 3.8% 2.6% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
Benjamin Brown 3.7% 2.7% 4.2% 4.4% 4.7% 5.5% 4.8% 4.8% 8.8% 9.9% 11.5% 14.4% 14.3% 6.3%
Hunter Mumma 7.0% 7.4% 7.1% 6.9% 8.5% 9.0% 9.8% 10.3% 9.8% 8.4% 7.3% 5.0% 2.5% 1.0%
David Pierce 4.0% 4.8% 3.9% 5.1% 6.7% 6.5% 8.4% 7.3% 9.2% 11.9% 10.9% 10.3% 8.6% 2.4%
Conor Lodge 7.6% 7.3% 8.8% 8.0% 10.1% 8.1% 10.0% 9.5% 8.3% 8.4% 6.3% 4.8% 2.1% 0.7%
Charlotte Skinner 1.5% 1.6% 1.5% 3.0% 2.3% 2.0% 3.6% 4.5% 5.7% 8.0% 11.1% 16.2% 22.7% 16.3%
Joshua Revkin 0.9% 0.6% 0.4% 1.3% 0.3% 1.3% 0.9% 2.4% 2.0% 2.1% 4.7% 7.4% 15.9% 59.8%
Ryan Hughes 8.8% 9.0% 9.7% 7.9% 8.7% 9.8% 8.9% 9.2% 9.5% 7.9% 6.9% 2.3% 0.8% 0.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.