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📊 Prediction Accuracy
34.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
26
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1San Diego State University1.47+3.24vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Cruz2.28+0.35vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.22+4.70vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Cruz0.24+5.12vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego-1.25+10.85vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Cruz0.63-0.19vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego0.03+1.40vs Predicted
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8University of California at Irvine-0.88+5.64vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Cruz-0.17+1.06vs Predicted
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10Santa Clara University-0.94+3.33vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego-1.00+2.66vs Predicted
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12Arizona State University-1.15+2.46vs Predicted
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13San Diego State University-0.86+0.68vs Predicted
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14University of California at Irvine-1.43+2.20vs Predicted
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15University of California at Berkeley-0.40-2.72vs Predicted
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16Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.21-1.41vs Predicted
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17University of California at Davis-1.41-1.30vs Predicted
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18Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.57-1.68vs Predicted
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19University of California at Berkeley-0.81-5.89vs Predicted
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20San Diego State University-1.01-6.01vs Predicted
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21University of California at Davis-2.15-0.96vs Predicted
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22California State University Monterey Bay-1.83-3.92vs Predicted
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23University of California at Los Angeles-2.25-3.11vs Predicted
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24Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.53-2.85vs Predicted
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25University of California at Los Angeles-1.85-6.73vs Predicted
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26California State University Channel Islands-1.98-6.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.24San Diego State University1.4714.6%1st Place
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2.35University of California at Santa Cruz2.2839.7%1st Place
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7.7Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.225.3%1st Place
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9.12University of California at Santa Cruz0.243.9%1st Place
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15.85University of California at San Diego-1.251.1%1st Place
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5.81University of California at Santa Cruz0.638.8%1st Place
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8.4University of California at San Diego0.034.5%1st Place
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13.64University of California at Irvine-0.881.5%1st Place
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10.06University of California at Santa Cruz-0.173.4%1st Place
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13.33Santa Clara University-0.941.4%1st Place
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13.66University of California at San Diego-1.001.4%1st Place
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14.46Arizona State University-1.150.9%1st Place
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13.68San Diego State University-0.861.6%1st Place
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16.2University of California at Irvine-1.430.9%1st Place
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12.28University of California at Berkeley-0.402.4%1st Place
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14.59Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.211.2%1st Place
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15.7University of California at Davis-1.410.8%1st Place
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16.32Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.570.8%1st Place
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13.11University of California at Berkeley-0.811.6%1st Place
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13.99San Diego State University-1.011.3%1st Place
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20.04University of California at Davis-2.150.4%1st Place
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18.08California State University Monterey Bay-1.830.5%1st Place
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19.89University of California at Los Angeles-2.250.4%1st Place
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21.15Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.530.2%1st Place
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18.27University of California at Los Angeles-1.850.5%1st Place
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19.04California State University Channel Islands-1.981.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Smith | 14.6% | 16.0% | 17.0% | 14.3% | 11.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Ho | 39.7% | 25.7% | 15.3% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Parker Ziegler | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hunter Holguin | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Adem Evecek | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.6% |
| Isaac Sharp | 8.8% | 10.4% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Skyler Chaffey | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nejan Gunawardena | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Dante Massaro | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cole Mitchel | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| JP Finnegan | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.8% |
| Elias Ricken | 0.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Marley Daniel | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Spencer Eldridge | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.3% |
| Aivan Durfee | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| lucas kaemmerer | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Juliette Cramer | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 1.9% |
| Daniel Gates | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.3% |
| John Mayfield | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| julian stauffer | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Nicholas Conti | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 13.9% | 17.1% |
| Annika Altman | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 6.2% |
| Jackson Kurtz | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 12.4% | 15.1% |
| Kieran McEwen | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 14.3% | 26.9% |
| Luke Graham | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.2% |
| Kurt Richards | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 10.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.