← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
26
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of California at Santa Cruz1.45+2.17vs Predicted
-
2University of California at San Diego-0.87+11.36vs Predicted
-
3University of California at Santa Cruz0.91+2.11vs Predicted
-
4University of California at Berkeley-0.09+4.80vs Predicted
-
5University of California at Santa Cruz0.07+2.63vs Predicted
-
6University of California at Santa Cruz0.17+1.17vs Predicted
-
7Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.94+7.61vs Predicted
-
8University of California at Los Angeles-1.09+6.62vs Predicted
-
9Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.48+6.69vs Predicted
-
10-1.22+4.69vs Predicted
-
11University of California at San Diego-1.35+4.88vs Predicted
-
12University of California at Berkeley-0.75-0.14vs Predicted
-
13San Diego State University-1.18+1.22vs Predicted
-
14San Diego State University-0.91-1.03vs Predicted
-
15California State University Monterey Bay-1.32+0.45vs Predicted
-
16University of California at Irvine-1.42+0.23vs Predicted
-
17Santa Clara University-1.92+1.09vs Predicted
-
18University of California at Irvine-1.36-1.73vs Predicted
-
19University of California at San Diego-1.47-3.48vs Predicted
-
20Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.74-8.92vs Predicted
-
21University of California at Davis-1.48-5.16vs Predicted
-
22University of California at Los Angeles-0.94-9.14vs Predicted
-
23Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.78-5.27vs Predicted
-
24Arizona State University-2.21-4.52vs Predicted
-
25California State University Channel Islands-1.81-7.41vs Predicted
-
26San Diego State University-1.24-10.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.17University of California at Santa Cruz1.4529.0%1st Place
-
13.36University of California at San Diego-0.872.1%1st Place
-
5.11University of California at Santa Cruz0.9114.2%1st Place
-
8.8University of California at Berkeley-0.095.5%1st Place
-
7.63University of California at Santa Cruz0.078.5%1st Place
-
7.17University of California at Santa Cruz0.177.2%1st Place
-
14.61Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.941.8%1st Place
-
14.62University of California at Los Angeles-1.092.1%1st Place
-
15.69Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.481.3%1st Place
-
14.69-1.221.4%1st Place
-
15.88University of California at San Diego-1.351.4%1st Place
-
11.86University of California at Berkeley-0.753.0%1st Place
-
14.22San Diego State University-1.181.5%1st Place
-
12.97San Diego State University-0.912.6%1st Place
-
15.45California State University Monterey Bay-1.321.4%1st Place
-
16.23University of California at Irvine-1.421.7%1st Place
-
18.09Santa Clara University-1.920.9%1st Place
-
16.27University of California at Irvine-1.361.4%1st Place
-
15.52University of California at San Diego-1.471.7%1st Place
-
11.08Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.743.0%1st Place
-
15.84University of California at Davis-1.481.7%1st Place
-
12.86University of California at Los Angeles-0.941.9%1st Place
-
17.73Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.780.9%1st Place
-
19.48Arizona State University-2.210.9%1st Place
-
17.59California State University Channel Islands-1.811.1%1st Place
-
15.08San Diego State University-1.242.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buster Baylis | 29.0% | 21.1% | 15.2% | 12.1% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Bussey | 2.1% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
| Colin Olson | 14.2% | 13.3% | 12.6% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Lisle | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Caden Domingo | 8.5% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Maggie McEachen | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Briar | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 2.9% |
| Liam Williams | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 2.7% |
| Colin Thompson | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.0% |
| Tony Gao | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 2.1% |
| Maximus Suh | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.3% |
| Connor Fagan | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Joshua Barraza | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.7% |
| Juan Alcala | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.3% |
| Phoebe Liermann | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 3.1% |
| Gennis Marie Pilapil | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% |
| Luca Kennedy | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 11.3% |
| Matthew Stank | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% |
| Nate Powers | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% |
| Annika Burns | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| James Makler | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.5% |
| Emre Gurdal | 1.9% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.1% |
| Pike Williams | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 10.8% |
| Veja Zaprauskis | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 19.1% |
| Vaughn Russell | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 10.4% |
| Ryan Giorgianni | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.