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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
28
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University4.36+4.18vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.73+5.29vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania3.16+6.85vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California2.93+6.49vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08+0.87vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy3.17+3.36vs Predicted
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7Fordham University4.26-1.85vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University3.95-1.63vs Predicted
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9Arizona State University1.14+10.32vs Predicted
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10Tufts University3.65-2.37vs Predicted
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11California Poly Maritime Academy3.09-1.21vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston3.12-2.33vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Barbara2.95-2.56vs Predicted
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14University of Oregon1.55+2.99vs Predicted
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15Santa Clara University1.42+2.75vs Predicted
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16Oregon State University1.47+1.56vs Predicted
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17University of California at Santa Cruz0.86+3.37vs Predicted
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18Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.39-0.01vs Predicted
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19University of California at San Diego1.81-3.00vs Predicted
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20Oregon State University1.47-2.44vs Predicted
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21University of California at Los Angeles0.44+1.21vs Predicted
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22Texas A&M University0.43-0.03vs Predicted
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23Northwestern University1.16-4.44vs Predicted
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24Georgia Institute of Technology1.40-6.42vs Predicted
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25University of California at Irvine1.35-6.70vs Predicted
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27University of California at Davis0.45-5.10vs Predicted
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29Michigan State University1.36-11.27vs Predicted
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30University of California at Berkeley1.62-13.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.18Georgetown University4.360.1%1st Place
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7.29Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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9.85University of Pennsylvania3.160.0%1st Place
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10.49University of Southern California2.930.0%1st Place
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5.87U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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9.36U. S. Naval Academy3.170.0%1st Place
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5.15Fordham University4.260.1%1st Place
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6.37Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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19.32Arizona State University1.140.0%1st Place
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7.63Tufts University3.650.1%1st Place
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9.79California Poly Maritime Academy3.090.0%1st Place
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9.67College of Charleston3.120.1%1st Place
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10.44University of California at Santa Barbara2.950.0%1st Place
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16.99University of Oregon1.550.0%1st Place
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17.75Santa Clara University1.420.0%1st Place
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17.56Oregon State University1.470.0%1st Place
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20.37University of California at Santa Cruz0.860.0%1st Place
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17.99Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.390.0%1st Place
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16.0University of California at San Diego1.810.0%1st Place
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17.56Oregon State University1.470.0%1st Place
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22.21University of California at Los Angeles0.440.0%1st Place
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21.97Texas A&M University0.430.0%1st Place
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18.56Northwestern University1.160.0%1st Place
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17.58Georgia Institute of Technology1.400.0%1st Place
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18.3University of California at Irvine1.350.0%1st Place
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21.9University of California at Davis0.450.0%1st Place
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17.73Michigan State University1.360.0%1st Place
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16.68University of California at Berkeley1.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nevin Snow | 14.6% | 10.0% | 13.3% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Sinks | 7.2% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Swikart | 2.9% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Hecht | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Avery Fanning | 12.5% | 12.5% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Madigan | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olin Paine | 13.4% | 12.7% | 12.8% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Macdonald | 9.6% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Smith | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| Duncan Swain | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chris Vilicich | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Jorgensen | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Long | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Moran | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Francesca Cappellini | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| Cody Odou | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Alex Verdoia | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 0.0% |
| David Cornella | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Nicolas Delfino | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Cody Odou | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Gabriel Monti | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 12.8% | 23.2% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Lipari | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 14.1% | 20.3% | 0.0% |
| Travis Cottle | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 0.0% |
| John Reddaway | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Weis | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 0.0% |
| William Emberley | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 13.8% | 19.7% | 0.0% |
| Bill Weiland | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 0.0% |
| Kyra Oakes | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.