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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.9
Avg Position Diff
28
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University4.36+4.14vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy3.17+7.66vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara2.95+7.77vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08+1.85vs Predicted
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5Fordham University4.26+0.26vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania3.16+3.42vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University3.95-0.67vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego1.81+8.16vs Predicted
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9Tufts University3.65-1.51vs Predicted
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10University of Southern California2.93+0.83vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.39+7.01vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Cruz0.86+8.33vs Predicted
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13Oregon State University1.47+4.64vs Predicted
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14Boston College3.73-7.07vs Predicted
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15California Poly Maritime Academy3.09-5.32vs Predicted
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16Northwestern University1.16+2.96vs Predicted
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17Oregon State University1.47+0.64vs Predicted
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18Georgia Institute of Technology1.40-0.09vs Predicted
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19Arizona State University1.14+0.07vs Predicted
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20University of California at Davis0.45+2.14vs Predicted
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21University of California at Irvine1.35-2.67vs Predicted
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22Santa Clara University1.42-4.40vs Predicted
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23College of Charleston3.12-13.75vs Predicted
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25University of Oregon1.55-8.21vs Predicted
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26Michigan State University1.36-7.81vs Predicted
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28University of California at Los Angeles0.44-6.08vs Predicted
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29University of California at Berkeley1.62-12.55vs Predicted
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30Texas A&M University0.43-8.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.14Georgetown University4.360.1%1st Place
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9.66U. S. Naval Academy3.170.0%1st Place
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10.77University of California at Santa Barbara2.950.0%1st Place
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5.85U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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5.26Fordham University4.260.1%1st Place
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9.42University of Pennsylvania3.160.0%1st Place
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6.33Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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16.16University of California at San Diego1.810.0%1st Place
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7.49Tufts University3.650.1%1st Place
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10.83University of Southern California2.930.0%1st Place
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18.01Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.390.0%1st Place
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20.33University of California at Santa Cruz0.860.0%1st Place
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17.64Oregon State University1.470.0%1st Place
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6.93Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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9.68California Poly Maritime Academy3.090.0%1st Place
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18.96Northwestern University1.160.0%1st Place
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17.64Oregon State University1.470.0%1st Place
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17.91Georgia Institute of Technology1.400.0%1st Place
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19.07Arizona State University1.140.0%1st Place
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22.14University of California at Davis0.450.0%1st Place
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18.33University of California at Irvine1.350.0%1st Place
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17.6Santa Clara University1.420.0%1st Place
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9.25College of Charleston3.120.0%1st Place
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16.79University of Oregon1.550.0%1st Place
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18.19Michigan State University1.360.0%1st Place
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21.92University of California at Los Angeles0.440.0%1st Place
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16.45University of California at Berkeley1.620.0%1st Place
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21.9Texas A&M University0.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nevin Snow | 14.3% | 12.2% | 11.9% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Madigan | 4.0% | 3.7% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Long | 2.1% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Avery Fanning | 11.8% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olin Paine | 14.7% | 13.3% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Swikart | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Macdonald | 8.6% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicolas Delfino | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Duncan Swain | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Hecht | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Cornella | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Alex Verdoia | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 11.0% | 11.4% | 0.0% |
| Cody Odou | 0.7% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Sinks | 9.3% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chris Vilicich | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Travis Cottle | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 0.0% |
| Cody Odou | 0.7% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| John Reddaway | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Smith | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 0.0% |
| William Emberley | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 11.0% | 15.9% | 20.7% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Weis | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 0.0% |
| Francesca Cappellini | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Jorgensen | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Moran | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Bill Weiland | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 0.0% |
| Gabriel Monti | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 14.5% | 20.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyra Oakes | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Lipari | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 12.6% | 20.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.