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📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.4%
Within 2 Positions
4.8
Avg Position Diff
28
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University4.36+4.16vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08+4.01vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University3.95+3.55vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.73+2.98vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California2.93+5.51vs Predicted
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6Fordham University4.26-0.86vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy3.17+2.47vs Predicted
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8Tufts University3.65-0.46vs Predicted
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9Northwestern University1.16+10.18vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Barbara2.95+0.69vs Predicted
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12University of California at Irvine1.35+6.25vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego1.81+2.95vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania3.16-4.47vs Predicted
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15Georgia Institute of Technology1.40+2.72vs Predicted
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16Oregon State University1.47+1.48vs Predicted
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17College of Charleston3.12-7.38vs Predicted
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18University of California at Los Angeles0.44+4.05vs Predicted
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19Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.39-1.04vs Predicted
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20Oregon State University1.47-2.52vs Predicted
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21Arizona State University1.14-1.78vs Predicted
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22California Poly Maritime Academy3.09-12.08vs Predicted
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23University of Oregon1.55-5.87vs Predicted
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24Texas A&M University0.43-2.30vs Predicted
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25Michigan State University1.36-7.19vs Predicted
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27University of California at Santa Cruz0.86-6.46vs Predicted
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28University of California at Davis0.45-6.12vs Predicted
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29Santa Clara University1.42-11.60vs Predicted
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30University of California at Berkeley1.62-13.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.16Georgetown University4.360.1%1st Place
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6.01U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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6.55Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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6.98Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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10.51University of Southern California2.930.0%1st Place
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5.14Fordham University4.260.1%1st Place
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9.47U. S. Naval Academy3.170.1%1st Place
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7.54Tufts University3.650.1%1st Place
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19.18Northwestern University1.160.0%1st Place
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10.69University of California at Santa Barbara2.950.0%1st Place
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18.25University of California at Irvine1.350.0%1st Place
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15.95University of California at San Diego1.810.0%1st Place
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9.53University of Pennsylvania3.160.0%1st Place
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17.72Georgia Institute of Technology1.400.0%1st Place
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17.48Oregon State University1.470.0%1st Place
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9.62College of Charleston3.120.0%1st Place
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22.05University of California at Los Angeles0.440.0%1st Place
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17.96Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.390.0%1st Place
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17.48Oregon State University1.470.0%1st Place
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19.22Arizona State University1.140.0%1st Place
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9.92California Poly Maritime Academy3.090.0%1st Place
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17.13University of Oregon1.550.0%1st Place
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21.7Texas A&M University0.430.0%1st Place
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17.81Michigan State University1.360.0%1st Place
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20.54University of California at Santa Cruz0.860.0%1st Place
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21.88University of California at Davis0.450.0%1st Place
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17.4Santa Clara University1.420.0%1st Place
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16.62University of California at Berkeley1.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nevin Snow | 14.4% | 10.5% | 13.0% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Avery Fanning | 9.8% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Macdonald | 8.4% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Sinks | 9.5% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Hecht | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olin Paine | 12.6% | 12.7% | 14.6% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Madigan | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Duncan Swain | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Travis Cottle | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Long | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Weis | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 0.0% |
| Nicolas Delfino | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Jack Swikart | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Reddaway | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Cody Odou | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Jack Jorgensen | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gabriel Monti | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 14.5% | 23.2% | 0.0% |
| David Cornella | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Cody Odou | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Smith | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 0.0% |
| Chris Vilicich | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Moran | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Lipari | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 15.4% | 18.1% | 0.0% |
| Bill Weiland | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| Alex Verdoia | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 0.0% |
| William Emberley | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 13.6% | 19.9% | 0.0% |
| Francesca Cappellini | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 0.0% |
| Kyra Oakes | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.