← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
28
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Georgetown University4.36+4.13vs Predicted
-
2Boston College3.73+5.30vs Predicted
-
3Roger Williams University3.95+3.57vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08+1.78vs Predicted
-
5College of Charleston3.12+4.66vs Predicted
-
6University of Pennsylvania3.16+3.47vs Predicted
-
7Fordham University4.26-1.82vs Predicted
-
8Oregon State University1.47+9.87vs Predicted
-
9Tufts University3.65-1.54vs Predicted
-
10University of California at Santa Barbara2.95+0.68vs Predicted
-
11University of Southern California2.93-0.48vs Predicted
-
12University of California at Irvine1.35+6.23vs Predicted
-
13Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.39+5.04vs Predicted
-
14California Poly Maritime Academy3.09-4.43vs Predicted
-
15U. S. Naval Academy3.17-5.65vs Predicted
-
16University of Oregon1.55+1.16vs Predicted
-
17University of California at Berkeley1.62-0.11vs Predicted
-
18Northwestern University1.16+1.02vs Predicted
-
19Georgia Institute of Technology1.40-1.01vs Predicted
-
20Michigan State University1.36-1.75vs Predicted
-
21Santa Clara University1.42-3.38vs Predicted
-
22Arizona State University1.14-3.35vs Predicted
-
23Oregon State University1.47-5.13vs Predicted
-
24University of California at San Diego1.81-8.41vs Predicted
-
25University of California at Santa Cruz0.86-4.48vs Predicted
-
26Texas A&M University0.43-4.00vs Predicted
-
29University of California at Los Angeles0.44-7.37vs Predicted
-
30University of California at Davis0.45-8.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.13Georgetown University4.360.2%1st Place
-
7.3Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
-
6.57Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
-
5.78U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
-
9.66College of Charleston3.120.0%1st Place
-
9.47University of Pennsylvania3.160.0%1st Place
-
5.18Fordham University4.260.1%1st Place
-
17.87Oregon State University1.470.0%1st Place
-
7.46Tufts University3.650.1%1st Place
-
10.68University of California at Santa Barbara2.950.0%1st Place
-
10.52University of Southern California2.930.0%1st Place
-
18.23University of California at Irvine1.350.0%1st Place
-
18.04Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.390.0%1st Place
-
9.57California Poly Maritime Academy3.090.0%1st Place
-
9.35U. S. Naval Academy3.170.0%1st Place
-
17.16University of Oregon1.550.0%1st Place
-
16.89University of California at Berkeley1.620.0%1st Place
-
19.02Northwestern University1.160.0%1st Place
-
17.99Georgia Institute of Technology1.400.0%1st Place
-
18.25Michigan State University1.360.0%1st Place
-
17.62Santa Clara University1.420.0%1st Place
-
18.65Arizona State University1.140.0%1st Place
-
17.87Oregon State University1.470.0%1st Place
-
15.59University of California at San Diego1.810.0%1st Place
-
20.52University of California at Santa Cruz0.860.0%1st Place
-
22.0Texas A&M University0.430.0%1st Place
-
21.63University of California at Los Angeles0.440.0%1st Place
-
21.86University of California at Davis0.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nevin Snow | 15.2% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Sinks | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Macdonald | 8.9% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Avery Fanning | 11.6% | 11.7% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Jorgensen | 4.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Swikart | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olin Paine | 13.7% | 11.3% | 12.8% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cody Odou | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Duncan Swain | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Long | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Hecht | 3.2% | 2.7% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Weis | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 0.0% |
| David Cornella | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 0.0% |
| Chris Vilicich | 4.5% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Madigan | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Moran | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Kyra Oakes | 0.7% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Travis Cottle | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| John Reddaway | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Bill Weiland | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| Francesca Cappellini | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Smith | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
| Cody Odou | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Nicolas Delfino | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Alex Verdoia | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Lipari | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 13.0% | 21.4% | 0.0% |
| Gabriel Monti | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 13.3% | 19.4% | 0.0% |
| William Emberley | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 13.7% | 20.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.