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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
28
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University4.36+4.13vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University3.95+4.47vs Predicted
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3Fordham University4.26+2.50vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08+1.78vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania3.16+4.46vs Predicted
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6California Poly Maritime Academy3.09+3.73vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.73+0.10vs Predicted
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8University of California at Irvine1.35+10.45vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy3.17+0.56vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston3.12-0.09vs Predicted
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11University of Southern California2.93-0.45vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Barbara2.95-1.63vs Predicted
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13University of Oregon1.55+4.26vs Predicted
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14Tufts University3.65-6.75vs Predicted
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15Oregon State University1.47+2.50vs Predicted
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16Santa Clara University1.42+1.79vs Predicted
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17University of California at Santa Cruz0.86+3.35vs Predicted
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18Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.39-0.05vs Predicted
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19University of California at San Diego1.81-3.00vs Predicted
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20Michigan State University1.36-1.69vs Predicted
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22University of California at Davis0.45-0.12vs Predicted
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23Northwestern University1.16-4.40vs Predicted
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24Arizona State University1.14-5.23vs Predicted
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25Oregon State University1.47-7.50vs Predicted
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26Texas A&M University0.43-3.83vs Predicted
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27Georgia Institute of Technology1.40-9.19vs Predicted
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29University of California at Berkeley1.62-12.49vs Predicted
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30University of California at Los Angeles0.44-8.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.13Georgetown University4.360.1%1st Place
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6.47Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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5.5Fordham University4.260.1%1st Place
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5.78U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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9.46University of Pennsylvania3.160.1%1st Place
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9.73California Poly Maritime Academy3.090.0%1st Place
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7.1Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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18.45University of California at Irvine1.350.0%1st Place
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9.56U. S. Naval Academy3.170.0%1st Place
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9.91College of Charleston3.120.0%1st Place
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10.55University of Southern California2.930.0%1st Place
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10.37University of California at Santa Barbara2.950.0%1st Place
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17.26University of Oregon1.550.0%1st Place
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7.25Tufts University3.650.1%1st Place
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17.5Oregon State University1.470.0%1st Place
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17.79Santa Clara University1.420.0%1st Place
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20.35University of California at Santa Cruz0.860.0%1st Place
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17.95Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.390.0%1st Place
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16.0University of California at San Diego1.810.0%1st Place
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18.31Michigan State University1.360.0%1st Place
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21.88University of California at Davis0.450.0%1st Place
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18.6Northwestern University1.160.0%1st Place
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18.77Arizona State University1.140.0%1st Place
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17.5Oregon State University1.470.0%1st Place
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22.17Texas A&M University0.430.0%1st Place
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17.81Georgia Institute of Technology1.400.0%1st Place
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16.51University of California at Berkeley1.620.0%1st Place
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21.84University of California at Los Angeles0.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nevin Snow | 14.6% | 12.0% | 11.9% | 11.3% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Macdonald | 9.4% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olin Paine | 11.9% | 12.7% | 11.0% | 11.7% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Avery Fanning | 12.1% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Swikart | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chris Vilicich | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Sinks | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Weis | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Madigan | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Jorgensen | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Hecht | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Long | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Moran | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Duncan Swain | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cody Odou | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Francesca Cappellini | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Alex Verdoia | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 0.0% |
| David Cornella | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Nicolas Delfino | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Bill Weiland | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 0.0% |
| William Emberley | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 11.4% | 13.6% | 19.8% | 0.0% |
| Travis Cottle | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Smith | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 0.0% |
| Cody Odou | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Lipari | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 15.4% | 21.3% | 0.0% |
| John Reddaway | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 0.0% |
| Kyra Oakes | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Gabriel Monti | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 13.7% | 19.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.