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📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.4%
Within 2 Positions
5.6
Avg Position Diff
28
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University3.95+5.52vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.73+5.32vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara2.95+7.77vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University4.36+0.97vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy3.17+4.43vs Predicted
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6Arizona State University1.14+13.05vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08-1.19vs Predicted
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8University of Oregon1.55+9.51vs Predicted
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9Fordham University4.26-3.76vs Predicted
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10Oregon State University1.47+7.85vs Predicted
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11Tufts University3.65-3.53vs Predicted
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12Santa Clara University1.42+5.80vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston3.12-3.23vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania3.16-4.68vs Predicted
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15Georgia Institute of Technology1.40+2.77vs Predicted
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16Texas A&M University0.43+6.04vs Predicted
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17University of California at Irvine1.35+1.18vs Predicted
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18Oregon State University1.47-0.15vs Predicted
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19Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.39-1.15vs Predicted
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20Michigan State University1.36-1.79vs Predicted
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21University of Southern California2.93-10.30vs Predicted
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22Northwestern University1.16-3.17vs Predicted
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23University of California at San Diego1.81-7.59vs Predicted
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24California Poly Maritime Academy3.09-14.51vs Predicted
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25University of California at Berkeley1.62-7.95vs Predicted
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28University of California at Santa Cruz0.86-7.83vs Predicted
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29University of California at Los Angeles0.44-7.34vs Predicted
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30University of California at Davis0.45-8.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.52Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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7.32Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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10.77University of California at Santa Barbara2.950.0%1st Place
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4.97Georgetown University4.360.2%1st Place
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9.43U. S. Naval Academy3.170.0%1st Place
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19.05Arizona State University1.140.0%1st Place
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5.81U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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17.51University of Oregon1.550.0%1st Place
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5.24Fordham University4.260.1%1st Place
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17.85Oregon State University1.470.0%1st Place
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7.47Tufts University3.650.1%1st Place
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17.8Santa Clara University1.420.0%1st Place
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9.77College of Charleston3.120.1%1st Place
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9.32University of Pennsylvania3.160.0%1st Place
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17.77Georgia Institute of Technology1.400.0%1st Place
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22.04Texas A&M University0.430.0%1st Place
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18.18University of California at Irvine1.350.0%1st Place
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17.85Oregon State University1.470.0%1st Place
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17.85Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.390.0%1st Place
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18.21Michigan State University1.360.0%1st Place
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10.7University of Southern California2.930.0%1st Place
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18.83Northwestern University1.160.0%1st Place
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15.41University of California at San Diego1.810.0%1st Place
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9.49California Poly Maritime Academy3.090.0%1st Place
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17.05University of California at Berkeley1.620.0%1st Place
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20.17University of California at Santa Cruz0.860.0%1st Place
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21.66University of California at Los Angeles0.440.0%1st Place
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21.81University of California at Davis0.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Macdonald | 9.3% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Sinks | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Long | 2.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nevin Snow | 15.1% | 13.6% | 12.3% | 11.3% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Madigan | 4.7% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Smith | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 0.0% |
| Avery Fanning | 11.3% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Moran | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Olin Paine | 13.0% | 12.7% | 11.4% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cody Odou | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 0.0% |
| Duncan Swain | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Francesca Cappellini | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 0.0% |
| Jack Jorgensen | 5.2% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Swikart | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Reddaway | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Lipari | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 13.4% | 22.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Weis | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Cody Odou | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 0.0% |
| David Cornella | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 0.0% |
| Bill Weiland | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Hecht | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Travis Cottle | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 0.0% |
| Nicolas Delfino | 1.5% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Chris Vilicich | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyra Oakes | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Alex Verdoia | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 0.0% |
| Gabriel Monti | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 13.3% | 19.5% | 0.0% |
| William Emberley | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 14.4% | 20.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.