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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
28
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Oregon State University1.47+16.96vs Predicted
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2Fordham University4.26+3.40vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.73+4.38vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University3.95+2.21vs Predicted
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5California Poly Maritime Academy3.09+4.78vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California2.93+4.49vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania3.16+2.51vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy3.17+1.63vs Predicted
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9Tufts University3.65-1.59vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Barbara2.95+0.65vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston3.12-1.32vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University4.36-7.07vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08-7.13vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego1.81+1.83vs Predicted
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15Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.39+2.93vs Predicted
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16University of Oregon1.55+1.19vs Predicted
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17University of California at Berkeley1.62-0.13vs Predicted
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18Santa Clara University1.42-0.22vs Predicted
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19Arizona State University1.14+0.16vs Predicted
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20Oregon State University1.47-2.04vs Predicted
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21University of California at Santa Cruz0.86-0.46vs Predicted
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22Georgia Institute of Technology1.40-4.22vs Predicted
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23University of California at Irvine1.35-5.33vs Predicted
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24University of California at Los Angeles0.44-2.22vs Predicted
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25University of California at Davis0.45-2.88vs Predicted
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27Texas A&M University0.43-5.06vs Predicted
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28Michigan State University1.36-10.30vs Predicted
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29Northwestern University1.16-10.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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17.96Oregon State University1.470.0%1st Place
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5.4Fordham University4.260.1%1st Place
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7.38Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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6.21Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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9.78California Poly Maritime Academy3.090.0%1st Place
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10.49University of Southern California2.930.0%1st Place
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9.51University of Pennsylvania3.160.0%1st Place
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9.63U. S. Naval Academy3.170.0%1st Place
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7.41Tufts University3.650.1%1st Place
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10.65University of California at Santa Barbara2.950.0%1st Place
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9.68College of Charleston3.120.0%1st Place
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4.93Georgetown University4.360.2%1st Place
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5.87U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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15.83University of California at San Diego1.810.0%1st Place
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17.93Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.390.0%1st Place
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17.19University of Oregon1.550.0%1st Place
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16.87University of California at Berkeley1.620.0%1st Place
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17.78Santa Clara University1.420.0%1st Place
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19.16Arizona State University1.140.0%1st Place
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17.96Oregon State University1.470.0%1st Place
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20.54University of California at Santa Cruz0.860.0%1st Place
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17.78Georgia Institute of Technology1.400.0%1st Place
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17.67University of California at Irvine1.350.0%1st Place
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21.78University of California at Los Angeles0.440.0%1st Place
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22.12University of California at Davis0.450.0%1st Place
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21.94Texas A&M University0.430.0%1st Place
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17.7Michigan State University1.360.0%1st Place
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18.81Northwestern University1.160.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cody Odou | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 0.0% |
| Olin Paine | 11.5% | 13.5% | 12.1% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Sinks | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 10.2% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Macdonald | 11.4% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chris Vilicich | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Hecht | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Swikart | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Madigan | 3.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Duncan Swain | 7.4% | 5.8% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Long | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Jorgensen | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nevin Snow | 16.3% | 13.7% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Avery Fanning | 11.5% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicolas Delfino | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| David Cornella | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Moran | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Kyra Oakes | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Francesca Cappellini | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Smith | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 0.0% |
| Cody Odou | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 0.0% |
| Alex Verdoia | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 0.0% |
| John Reddaway | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Weis | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Gabriel Monti | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 13.5% | 19.7% | 0.0% |
| William Emberley | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 15.9% | 21.3% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Lipari | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 11.6% | 13.2% | 19.9% | 0.0% |
| Bill Weiland | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 0.0% |
| Travis Cottle | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.