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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
26
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.29+5.07vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+2.97vs Predicted
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3California Poly Maritime Academy2.56+6.10vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara3.06+2.85vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.76+2.97vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.01+1.09vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.90+0.44vs Predicted
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8University of California at Irvine1.71+4.56vs Predicted
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10Boston College2.69-1.80vs Predicted
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11Fordham University3.11-4.24vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania1.87-0.12vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University1.86-0.69vs Predicted
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14University of California at Davis0.42+4.82vs Predicted
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15Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.95+1.53vs Predicted
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16University of Oregon0.76+1.31vs Predicted
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17University of California at Los Angeles0.58+1.14vs Predicted
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19University of Southern California2.33-9.05vs Predicted
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20University of California at San Diego0.31-0.81vs Predicted
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21Texas A&M University0.51-2.68vs Predicted
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22Santa Clara University0.59-4.39vs Predicted
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23Georgia Institute of Technology-1.80+1.83vs Predicted
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24University of California at Berkeley1.02-7.92vs Predicted
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25Northwestern University1.27-10.21vs Predicted
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27Michigan State University0.66-9.56vs Predicted
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28Arizona State University0.10-7.86vs Predicted
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29University of California at Santa Cruz0.02-8.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.07Georgetown University3.290.1%1st Place
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4.97U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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9.1California Poly Maritime Academy2.560.0%1st Place
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6.85University of California at Santa Barbara3.060.1%1st Place
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7.97U. S. Naval Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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7.09College of Charleston3.010.1%1st Place
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7.44Tufts University2.900.1%1st Place
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12.56University of California at Irvine1.710.0%1st Place
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8.2Boston College2.690.1%1st Place
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6.76Fordham University3.110.1%1st Place
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11.88University of Pennsylvania1.870.0%1st Place
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12.31Roger Williams University1.860.0%1st Place
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18.82University of California at Davis0.420.0%1st Place
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16.53Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.950.0%1st Place
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17.31University of Oregon0.760.0%1st Place
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18.14University of California at Los Angeles0.580.0%1st Place
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9.95University of Southern California2.330.0%1st Place
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19.19University of California at San Diego0.310.0%1st Place
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18.32Texas A&M University0.510.0%1st Place
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17.61Santa Clara University0.590.0%1st Place
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24.83Georgia Institute of Technology-1.800.0%1st Place
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16.08University of California at Berkeley1.020.0%1st Place
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14.79Northwestern University1.270.0%1st Place
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17.44Michigan State University0.660.0%1st Place
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20.14Arizona State University0.100.0%1st Place
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20.65University of California at Santa Cruz0.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AJ Reiter | 11.2% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nikole Barnes | 14.4% | 13.4% | 12.5% | 11.4% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Hopps | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kristopher Swanson | 8.4% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jimmy Madigan | 7.6% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christophe Killian | 7.3% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Moody | 7.9% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Heller | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Domenic Bove | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Godfrey | 10.5% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Keen Butcher | 2.7% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Murray | 0.1% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 2.2% |
| Graham Gooding | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 0.5% |
| Ryan Fritsen | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 1.1% |
| Sarah Wyman | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 1.7% |
| Peter Wong | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brett Farrell | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 2.9% |
| Erin Hawk | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 1.6% |
| Francesca Dana | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 1.4% |
| James Elder | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 8.5% | 74.2% |
| Cole Fargo | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 0.5% |
| Jacob Bruce | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Dust | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 1.6% |
| Chad Hardgrove | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 14.3% | 14.0% | 5.5% |
| Kip Wanaselja | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 13.3% | 19.8% | 6.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.