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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.9%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
26
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy2.56+8.02vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.01+5.26vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University3.29+3.06vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+0.80vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.69+3.28vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara3.06+0.87vs Predicted
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7University of California at Irvine1.71+5.71vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.76-0.11vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania1.87+2.87vs Predicted
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10Fordham University3.11-3.28vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.90-4.60vs Predicted
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14Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.95+2.58vs Predicted
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16University of California at San Diego0.31+3.19vs Predicted
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17University of California at Davis0.42+1.82vs Predicted
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18University of Oregon0.76-0.78vs Predicted
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19Santa Clara University0.59-0.91vs Predicted
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20Roger Williams University1.86-7.93vs Predicted
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21University of California at Berkeley1.02-4.97vs Predicted
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22University of Southern California2.33-12.05vs Predicted
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23Northwestern University1.27-8.32vs Predicted
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24Georgia Institute of Technology-1.80+0.85vs Predicted
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25Texas A&M University0.51-6.68vs Predicted
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26Michigan State University0.66-8.34vs Predicted
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27University of California at Santa Cruz0.02-6.92vs Predicted
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28Arizona State University0.10-7.86vs Predicted
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29University of California at Los Angeles0.58-10.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.02California Poly Maritime Academy2.560.1%1st Place
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7.26College of Charleston3.010.1%1st Place
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6.06Georgetown University3.290.1%1st Place
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4.8U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.2%1st Place
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8.28Boston College2.690.1%1st Place
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6.87University of California at Santa Barbara3.060.1%1st Place
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12.71University of California at Irvine1.710.0%1st Place
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7.89U. S. Naval Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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11.87University of Pennsylvania1.870.0%1st Place
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6.72Fordham University3.110.1%1st Place
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7.4Tufts University2.900.1%1st Place
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16.58Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.950.0%1st Place
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19.19University of California at San Diego0.310.0%1st Place
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18.82University of California at Davis0.420.0%1st Place
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17.22University of Oregon0.760.0%1st Place
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18.09Santa Clara University0.590.0%1st Place
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12.07Roger Williams University1.860.0%1st Place
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16.03University of California at Berkeley1.020.0%1st Place
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9.95University of Southern California2.330.0%1st Place
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14.68Northwestern University1.270.0%1st Place
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24.85Georgia Institute of Technology-1.800.0%1st Place
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18.32Texas A&M University0.510.0%1st Place
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17.66Michigan State University0.660.0%1st Place
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20.08University of California at Santa Cruz0.020.0%1st Place
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20.14Arizona State University0.100.0%1st Place
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18.42University of California at Los Angeles0.580.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Hopps | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christophe Killian | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| AJ Reiter | 10.3% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nikole Barnes | 16.5% | 13.4% | 13.1% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Domenic Bove | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kristopher Swanson | 7.1% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Heller | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jimmy Madigan | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Keen Butcher | 3.2% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Connor Godfrey | 10.3% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Moody | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Graham Gooding | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Brett Farrell | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 2.4% |
| Lucas Murray | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 1.7% |
| Ryan Fritsen | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 1.0% |
| Francesca Dana | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 1.4% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Cole Fargo | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Peter Wong | 4.2% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Bruce | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| James Elder | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 8.3% | 74.5% |
| Erin Hawk | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 3.0% |
| Elizabeth Dust | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 0.9% |
| Kip Wanaselja | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 12.2% | 16.2% | 5.9% |
| Chad Hardgrove | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 10.3% | 13.5% | 14.2% | 6.2% |
| Sarah Wyman | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 2.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.