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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.9%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
26
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy2.56+8.11vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.29+4.33vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara3.06+3.97vs Predicted
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4Fordham University3.11+2.75vs Predicted
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5Santa Clara University0.59+12.87vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-1.13vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.69+1.44vs Predicted
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8University of California at Irvine1.71+4.61vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy2.76-1.05vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania1.87+2.11vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University1.86+1.10vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston3.01-4.69vs Predicted
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13University of Southern California2.47-3.67vs Predicted
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14Michigan State University0.66+3.99vs Predicted
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16Tufts University2.90-8.50vs Predicted
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17Northwestern University1.27-1.92vs Predicted
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18University of Oregon0.76-0.58vs Predicted
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20University of California at Davis0.42-1.10vs Predicted
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21University of California at Los Angeles0.58-2.81vs Predicted
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22Texas A&M University0.51-3.84vs Predicted
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23University of California at Berkeley1.02-6.63vs Predicted
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24Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.95-7.48vs Predicted
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25University of California at San Diego0.31-5.70vs Predicted
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27Georgia Institute of Technology0.30-7.88vs Predicted
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28University of California at Santa Cruz0.02-7.33vs Predicted
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29Arizona State University-1.11-4.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.11California Poly Maritime Academy2.560.1%1st Place
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6.33Georgetown University3.290.1%1st Place
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6.97University of California at Santa Barbara3.060.1%1st Place
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6.75Fordham University3.110.1%1st Place
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17.87Santa Clara University0.590.0%1st Place
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4.87U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.2%1st Place
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8.44Boston College2.690.1%1st Place
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12.61University of California at Irvine1.710.0%1st Place
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7.95U. S. Naval Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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12.11University of Pennsylvania1.870.0%1st Place
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12.1Roger Williams University1.860.0%1st Place
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7.31College of Charleston3.010.1%1st Place
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9.33University of Southern California2.470.0%1st Place
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17.99Michigan State University0.660.0%1st Place
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7.5Tufts University2.900.1%1st Place
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15.08Northwestern University1.270.0%1st Place
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17.42University of Oregon0.760.0%1st Place
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18.9University of California at Davis0.420.0%1st Place
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18.19University of California at Los Angeles0.580.0%1st Place
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18.16Texas A&M University0.510.0%1st Place
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16.37University of California at Berkeley1.020.0%1st Place
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16.52Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.950.0%1st Place
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19.3University of California at San Diego0.310.0%1st Place
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19.12Georgia Institute of Technology0.300.0%1st Place
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20.67University of California at Santa Cruz0.020.0%1st Place
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24.02Arizona State University-1.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Hopps | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| AJ Reiter | 9.7% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kristopher Swanson | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Godfrey | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Francesca Dana | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 3.5% |
| Nikole Barnes | 15.3% | 14.2% | 15.1% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Domenic Bove | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Heller | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jimmy Madigan | 7.4% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Keen Butcher | 3.3% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 3.2% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christophe Killian | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Coakley | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Dust | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 1.9% |
| James Moody | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Bruce | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Ryan Fritsen | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 4.0% | 1.4% |
| Lucas Murray | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 5.2% |
| Sarah Wyman | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 2.6% |
| Erin Hawk | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 2.4% |
| Cole Fargo | 0.6% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 1.0% |
| Graham Gooding | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 1.3% |
| Brett Farrell | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 4.9% |
| Joshua Kim | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 5.9% |
| Kip Wanaselja | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 13.0% | 16.2% | 10.8% |
| Conor McGee | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 13.1% | 58.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.