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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
26
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.29+5.13vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+3.10vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara3.06+3.92vs Predicted
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4Santa Clara University0.59+14.14vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston3.01+2.03vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.90+1.58vs Predicted
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7Fordham University3.11-0.32vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.76-0.11vs Predicted
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10Boston College2.69-1.72vs Predicted
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11California Poly Maritime Academy2.56-1.97vs Predicted
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12University of Southern California2.47-2.78vs Predicted
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13University of California at Irvine1.71+0.12vs Predicted
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14Northwestern University1.27+1.10vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University1.86-2.71vs Predicted
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16University of Pennsylvania1.87-3.87vs Predicted
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17University of California at San Diego0.31+2.40vs Predicted
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18University of California at Los Angeles0.58+0.20vs Predicted
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19University of California at Berkeley1.02-2.82vs Predicted
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20University of Oregon0.76-2.61vs Predicted
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22Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.95-5.81vs Predicted
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24Michigan State University0.66-6.04vs Predicted
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25University of California at Davis0.42-6.16vs Predicted
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26Texas A&M University0.51-7.64vs Predicted
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27Georgia Institute of Technology0.30-7.90vs Predicted
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28Arizona State University-1.11-4.08vs Predicted
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29University of California at Santa Cruz0.02-8.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.13Georgetown University3.290.1%1st Place
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5.1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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6.92University of California at Santa Barbara3.060.1%1st Place
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18.14Santa Clara University0.590.0%1st Place
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7.03College of Charleston3.010.1%1st Place
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7.58Tufts University2.900.1%1st Place
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6.68Fordham University3.110.1%1st Place
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7.89U. S. Naval Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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8.28Boston College2.690.1%1st Place
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9.03California Poly Maritime Academy2.560.1%1st Place
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9.22University of Southern California2.470.1%1st Place
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13.12University of California at Irvine1.710.0%1st Place
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15.1Northwestern University1.270.0%1st Place
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12.29Roger Williams University1.860.0%1st Place
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12.13University of Pennsylvania1.870.0%1st Place
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19.4University of California at San Diego0.310.0%1st Place
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18.2University of California at Los Angeles0.580.0%1st Place
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16.18University of California at Berkeley1.020.0%1st Place
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17.39University of Oregon0.760.0%1st Place
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16.19Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.950.0%1st Place
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17.96Michigan State University0.660.0%1st Place
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18.84University of California at Davis0.420.0%1st Place
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18.36Texas A&M University0.510.0%1st Place
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19.1Georgia Institute of Technology0.300.0%1st Place
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23.92Arizona State University-1.110.0%1st Place
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20.81University of California at Santa Cruz0.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AJ Reiter | 10.7% | 9.4% | 11.6% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nikole Barnes | 14.4% | 12.7% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kristopher Swanson | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Francesca Dana | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 2.9% |
| Christophe Killian | 8.7% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Moody | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Godfrey | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jimmy Madigan | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Domenic Bove | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Hopps | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Coakley | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Heller | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Bruce | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Keen Butcher | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brett Farrell | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 6.6% |
| Sarah Wyman | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 2.7% |
| Cole Fargo | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 0.5% |
| Ryan Fritsen | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 1.2% |
| Graham Gooding | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| Elizabeth Dust | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 2.3% |
| Lucas Murray | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 5.2% |
| Erin Hawk | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 3.4% |
| Joshua Kim | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 5.9% |
| Conor McGee | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 13.6% | 55.3% |
| Kip Wanaselja | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 17.4% | 12.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.