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📊 Prediction Accuracy
19.2%
Within 2 Positions
5.4
Avg Position Diff
26
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.90+6.53vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.76+6.17vs Predicted
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3Michigan State University0.66+14.70vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania1.87+8.02vs Predicted
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5Fordham University3.11+1.55vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.95+10.29vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-2.19vs Predicted
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8California Poly Maritime Academy2.56+0.73vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston3.01-2.09vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University3.29-4.95vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Barbara3.06-5.26vs Predicted
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13Boston College2.69-4.43vs Predicted
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15University of California at Berkeley1.02+0.94vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University1.86-3.88vs Predicted
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17University of Oregon0.76+0.15vs Predicted
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18Northwestern University1.27-3.11vs Predicted
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20University of California at Irvine1.71-7.21vs Predicted
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21Santa Clara University0.59-3.22vs Predicted
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22University of California at Davis0.42-3.51vs Predicted
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23University of California at Los Angeles0.58-5.49vs Predicted
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24Arizona State University-1.11-0.56vs Predicted
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25University of California at San Diego0.31-6.09vs Predicted
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26University of Southern California2.47-16.81vs Predicted
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27Texas A&M University0.51-9.17vs Predicted
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28University of California at Santa Cruz0.02-7.80vs Predicted
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29Georgia Institute of Technology-1.80-4.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.53Tufts University2.900.1%1st Place
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8.17U. S. Naval Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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17.7Michigan State University0.660.0%1st Place
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12.02University of Pennsylvania1.870.0%1st Place
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6.55Fordham University3.110.1%1st Place
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16.29Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.950.0%1st Place
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4.81U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.2%1st Place
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8.73California Poly Maritime Academy2.560.1%1st Place
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6.91College of Charleston3.010.1%1st Place
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6.05Georgetown University3.290.1%1st Place
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6.74University of California at Santa Barbara3.060.1%1st Place
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8.57Boston College2.690.1%1st Place
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15.94University of California at Berkeley1.020.0%1st Place
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12.12Roger Williams University1.860.0%1st Place
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17.15University of Oregon0.760.0%1st Place
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14.89Northwestern University1.270.0%1st Place
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12.79University of California at Irvine1.710.0%1st Place
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17.78Santa Clara University0.590.0%1st Place
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18.49University of California at Davis0.420.0%1st Place
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17.51University of California at Los Angeles0.580.0%1st Place
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23.44Arizona State University-1.110.0%1st Place
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18.91University of California at San Diego0.310.0%1st Place
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9.19University of Southern California2.470.0%1st Place
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17.83Texas A&M University0.510.0%1st Place
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20.2University of California at Santa Cruz0.020.0%1st Place
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24.67Georgia Institute of Technology-1.800.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Moody | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jimmy Madigan | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Dust | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 3.6% | 0.5% |
| Keen Butcher | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Connor Godfrey | 9.6% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Graham Gooding | 0.2% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Nikole Barnes | 16.1% | 13.7% | 12.3% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Hopps | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christophe Killian | 8.9% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| AJ Reiter | 11.0% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kristopher Swanson | 9.5% | 10.7% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Domenic Bove | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cole Fargo | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Fritsen | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
| Jacob Bruce | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Samuel Heller | 2.4% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Francesca Dana | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 3.5% | 1.1% |
| Lucas Murray | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 5.3% | 0.8% |
| Sarah Wyman | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 1.0% |
| Conor McGee | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 9.9% | 36.4% | 25.7% |
| Brett Farrell | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 9.1% | 2.2% |
| John Coakley | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erin Hawk | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 0.8% |
| Kip Wanaselja | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 12.8% | 15.9% | 10.1% | 5.1% |
| James Elder | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 6.0% | 17.4% | 61.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.