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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
26
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.76+7.07vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.29+4.23vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara3.06+3.95vs Predicted
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4Fordham University3.11+2.65vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.69+3.23vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-1.19vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania1.87+4.91vs Predicted
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8California Poly Maritime Academy2.56+0.63vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston3.01-2.08vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.90-2.47vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego0.31+7.77vs Predicted
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12Michigan State University0.66+5.71vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University1.86-1.00vs Predicted
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14Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.95+2.29vs Predicted
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16Santa Clara University0.59+1.82vs Predicted
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17University of California at Irvine1.71-4.19vs Predicted
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18University of Southern California2.47-8.65vs Predicted
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19Texas A&M University0.51-0.94vs Predicted
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21Northwestern University1.27-6.26vs Predicted
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23University of California at Los Angeles0.58-5.42vs Predicted
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24University of California at Berkeley1.02-7.92vs Predicted
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25University of California at Davis0.42-6.53vs Predicted
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26Georgia Institute of Technology-1.80-1.32vs Predicted
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27Arizona State University-1.11-3.78vs Predicted
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28University of Oregon0.76-10.84vs Predicted
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29University of California at Santa Cruz0.02-8.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.07U. S. Naval Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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6.23Georgetown University3.290.1%1st Place
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6.95University of California at Santa Barbara3.060.1%1st Place
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6.65Fordham University3.110.1%1st Place
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8.23Boston College2.690.1%1st Place
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4.81U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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11.91University of Pennsylvania1.870.0%1st Place
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8.63California Poly Maritime Academy2.560.1%1st Place
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6.92College of Charleston3.010.1%1st Place
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7.53Tufts University2.900.1%1st Place
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18.77University of California at San Diego0.310.0%1st Place
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17.71Michigan State University0.660.0%1st Place
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12.0Roger Williams University1.860.0%1st Place
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16.29Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.950.0%1st Place
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17.82Santa Clara University0.590.0%1st Place
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12.81University of California at Irvine1.710.0%1st Place
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9.35University of Southern California2.470.0%1st Place
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18.06Texas A&M University0.510.0%1st Place
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14.74Northwestern University1.270.0%1st Place
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17.58University of California at Los Angeles0.580.0%1st Place
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16.08University of California at Berkeley1.020.0%1st Place
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18.47University of California at Davis0.420.0%1st Place
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24.68Georgia Institute of Technology-1.800.0%1st Place
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23.22Arizona State University-1.110.0%1st Place
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17.16University of Oregon0.760.0%1st Place
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20.35University of California at Santa Cruz0.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jimmy Madigan | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| AJ Reiter | 9.8% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kristopher Swanson | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Godfrey | 8.8% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Domenic Bove | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nikole Barnes | 14.0% | 16.5% | 14.0% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Keen Butcher | 2.6% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Hopps | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christophe Killian | 9.2% | 6.6% | 10.4% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Moody | 8.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brett Farrell | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 12.1% | 10.6% | 7.5% | 2.1% |
| Elizabeth Dust | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 0.5% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Graham Gooding | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Francesca Dana | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 3.7% | 1.0% |
| Samuel Heller | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Coakley | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Erin Hawk | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 1.3% |
| Jacob Bruce | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Wyman | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 3.6% | 1.0% |
| Cole Fargo | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Lucas Murray | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 6.2% | 1.9% |
| James Elder | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 19.8% | 59.0% |
| Conor McGee | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 7.5% | 12.0% | 29.5% | 26.9% |
| Ryan Fritsen | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 2.7% | 0.4% |
| Kip Wanaselja | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 11.4% | 14.9% | 13.6% | 4.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.