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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California State University Channel Islands2.77+3.42vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii1.88+4.63vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California1.52+4.50vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University2.45+1.19vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California2.47+0.09vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii1.59+1.37vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University2.21-1.34vs Predicted
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8California State University Channel Islands2.77-3.58vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley1.71-2.05vs Predicted
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10University of Hawaii2.92-6.16vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Barbara2.49-6.00vs Predicted
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12University of California at Berkeley0.92-3.01vs Predicted
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13University of British Columbia-0.77-1.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.42California State University Channel Islands2.770.2%1st Place
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6.63University of Hawaii1.880.1%1st Place
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7.5University of Southern California1.520.1%1st Place
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5.19Salve Regina University2.450.1%1st Place
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5.09University of Southern California2.470.1%1st Place
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7.37University of Hawaii1.590.0%1st Place
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5.66Salve Regina University2.210.1%1st Place
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4.42California State University Channel Islands2.770.2%1st Place
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6.95University of California at Berkeley1.710.1%1st Place
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3.84University of Hawaii2.920.2%1st Place
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5.0University of California at Santa Barbara2.490.1%1st Place
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8.99University of California at Berkeley0.920.0%1st Place
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11.36University of British Columbia-0.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gregory Dair | 15.7% | 13.2% | 13.0% | 13.2% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeremy Hitchcock | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 12.7% | 11.1% | 13.5% | 6.4% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Kendall Sanson | 5.4% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 12.4% | 16.7% | 14.7% | 2.6% | 0.0% |
| John Silvestri | 9.5% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 12.1% | 11.4% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| John Coakley | 11.2% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Louise Currie | 4.7% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 9.7% | 12.1% | 13.0% | 15.3% | 13.0% | 2.8% | 0.0% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 8.1% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 11.9% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Dair | 15.7% | 13.2% | 13.0% | 13.2% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Hays | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 11.5% | 12.0% | 13.4% | 11.6% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Chuck Eaton | 19.5% | 16.6% | 15.6% | 11.9% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cobi Allen | 11.7% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 10.6% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 6.4% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ian Markowitz | 2.4% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 11.4% | 15.2% | 31.6% | 11.2% | 0.0% |
| Ashley-Belle Burns | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 9.3% | 78.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.