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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii2.92+3.10vs Predicted
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2California State University Channel Islands2.77+2.36vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University2.45+2.14vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara2.49+1.01vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California2.47+0.15vs Predicted
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6California State University Channel Islands2.77-1.64vs Predicted
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7University of Hawaii1.59+0.34vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley1.71-1.05vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University2.21-3.36vs Predicted
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10University of Southern California1.52-2.60vs Predicted
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11University of Hawaii1.88-4.46vs Predicted
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12University of California at Berkeley0.92-2.95vs Predicted
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14University of British Columbia-0.77-2.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.1University of Hawaii2.920.2%1st Place
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4.36California State University Channel Islands2.770.1%1st Place
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5.14Salve Regina University2.450.1%1st Place
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5.01University of California at Santa Barbara2.490.1%1st Place
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5.15University of Southern California2.470.1%1st Place
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4.36California State University Channel Islands2.770.1%1st Place
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7.34University of Hawaii1.590.1%1st Place
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6.95University of California at Berkeley1.710.1%1st Place
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5.64Salve Regina University2.210.1%1st Place
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7.4University of Southern California1.520.0%1st Place
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6.54University of Hawaii1.880.1%1st Place
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9.05University of California at Berkeley0.920.0%1st Place
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11.35University of British Columbia-0.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chuck Eaton | 17.2% | 15.2% | 14.5% | 14.3% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 7.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Dair | 14.5% | 15.6% | 13.5% | 13.6% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Silvestri | 12.2% | 9.8% | 11.9% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 1.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cobi Allen | 10.3% | 13.7% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 12.2% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 4.6% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| John Coakley | 11.3% | 11.4% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Dair | 14.5% | 15.6% | 13.5% | 13.6% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Louise Currie | 5.1% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 12.6% | 16.7% | 11.9% | 2.9% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Hays | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 11.9% | 11.3% | 12.3% | 11.2% | 3.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 10.5% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 12.4% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Kendall Sanson | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 12.6% | 11.8% | 14.8% | 14.5% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Jeremy Hitchcock | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 12.9% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Ian Markowitz | 2.4% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 15.7% | 31.5% | 11.7% | 0.0% |
| Ashley-Belle Burns | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 9.7% | 78.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.