← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Hawaii2.92+3.03vs Predicted
-
2Salve Regina University2.45+3.10vs Predicted
-
3University of Hawaii1.88+3.65vs Predicted
-
4University of Southern California2.47+1.14vs Predicted
-
5University of California at Santa Barbara2.49+0.05vs Predicted
-
6Salve Regina University2.21-0.25vs Predicted
-
7University of California at Berkeley1.71-0.06vs Predicted
-
8California State University Channel Islands2.77-3.70vs Predicted
-
9University of Southern California1.52-1.60vs Predicted
-
10University of California at Berkeley0.92-1.18vs Predicted
-
11University of Hawaii1.59-3.51vs Predicted
-
12University of British Columbia-0.77-0.67vs Predicted
-
14California State University Channel Islands2.77-9.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.03University of Hawaii2.920.2%1st Place
-
5.1Salve Regina University2.450.1%1st Place
-
6.65University of Hawaii1.880.1%1st Place
-
5.14University of Southern California2.470.1%1st Place
-
5.05University of California at Santa Barbara2.490.1%1st Place
-
5.75Salve Regina University2.210.1%1st Place
-
6.94University of California at Berkeley1.710.1%1st Place
-
4.3California State University Channel Islands2.770.2%1st Place
-
7.4University of Southern California1.520.0%1st Place
-
8.82University of California at Berkeley0.920.0%1st Place
-
7.49University of Hawaii1.590.0%1st Place
-
11.33University of British Columbia-0.770.0%1st Place
-
4.3California State University Channel Islands2.770.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chuck Eaton | 17.2% | 15.8% | 14.6% | 14.9% | 11.2% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Silvestri | 10.1% | 11.7% | 11.4% | 12.4% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jeremy Hitchcock | 7.7% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 12.3% | 12.7% | 7.8% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| John Coakley | 10.1% | 12.2% | 12.1% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Cobi Allen | 11.5% | 12.2% | 11.9% | 10.1% | 12.9% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 8.8% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Hays | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 12.9% | 13.4% | 9.5% | 3.6% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Dair | 17.3% | 15.5% | 12.8% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kendall Sanson | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 12.6% | 16.9% | 13.1% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Ian Markowitz | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 10.4% | 14.4% | 31.0% | 10.3% | 0.0% |
| Louise Currie | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 15.4% | 15.0% | 3.4% | 0.0% |
| Ashley-Belle Burns | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 9.6% | 78.2% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Dair | 17.3% | 15.5% | 12.8% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.