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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii2.92+3.10vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii1.88+4.64vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University2.45+2.13vs Predicted
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4California State University Channel Islands2.77+0.32vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University2.21+0.78vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California2.47-0.91vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley1.71-0.06vs Predicted
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8University of Hawaii1.59-0.76vs Predicted
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9University of Southern California1.52-1.60vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Barbara2.49-5.03vs Predicted
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11California State University Channel Islands2.77-6.68vs Predicted
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13University of California at Berkeley0.92-3.98vs Predicted
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14University of British Columbia-0.77-2.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.1University of Hawaii2.920.2%1st Place
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6.64University of Hawaii1.880.1%1st Place
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5.13Salve Regina University2.450.1%1st Place
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4.32California State University Channel Islands2.770.1%1st Place
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5.78Salve Regina University2.210.1%1st Place
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5.09University of Southern California2.470.1%1st Place
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6.94University of California at Berkeley1.710.1%1st Place
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7.24University of Hawaii1.590.1%1st Place
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7.4University of Southern California1.520.0%1st Place
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4.97University of California at Santa Barbara2.490.1%1st Place
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4.32California State University Channel Islands2.770.1%1st Place
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9.02University of California at Berkeley0.920.0%1st Place
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11.36University of British Columbia-0.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chuck Eaton | 17.2% | 15.8% | 14.4% | 13.2% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeremy Hitchcock | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 13.8% | 12.9% | 7.3% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| John Silvestri | 11.9% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Dair | 14.4% | 16.9% | 13.6% | 12.5% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 9.3% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| John Coakley | 11.9% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 2.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Hays | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 12.4% | 11.2% | 14.0% | 9.6% | 3.2% | 0.0% |
| Louise Currie | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 15.7% | 13.4% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| Kendall Sanson | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 14.5% | 13.8% | 14.7% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Cobi Allen | 11.6% | 11.8% | 13.1% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Dair | 14.4% | 16.9% | 13.6% | 12.5% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ian Markowitz | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 14.8% | 32.3% | 11.3% | 0.0% |
| Ashley-Belle Burns | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 9.2% | 78.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.