Race 5A

chris-loder

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Jennifer Proctor 13.6% 12.9% 12.8% 11.8% 9.3% 8.9% 8.3% 6.1% 4.8% 4.3% 3.1% 2.3% 0.8% 0.8% 0.2%
Benjamin Brown 2.8% 3.6% 2.7% 4.3% 5.5% 5.3% 5.9% 6.7% 7.1% 8.5% 9.9% 9.9% 14.0% 9.4% 4.4%
Richard Graef 4.7% 4.3% 5.6% 5.4% 5.2% 6.4% 6.4% 8.6% 7.2% 10.6% 9.5% 12.2% 7.1% 4.9% 1.9%
Emily Billing 13.8% 13.2% 10.6% 10.0% 11.4% 7.8% 7.2% 8.1% 7.2% 5.5% 2.7% 1.0% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0%
Bo McClatchy 11.0% 10.8% 8.8% 8.8% 9.6% 9.3% 10.0% 9.1% 6.2% 6.0% 4.2% 3.8% 1.6% 0.8% 0.0%
Conor Lodge 8.0% 7.6% 7.8% 8.7% 9.2% 9.6% 8.0% 9.8% 7.6% 6.6% 7.3% 5.8% 2.9% 0.6% 0.5%
David Pierce 5.6% 4.3% 4.4% 5.3% 5.2% 5.5% 8.7% 7.2% 8.5% 10.8% 9.3% 9.6% 8.6% 5.2% 1.8%
Jeff Goodrich 8.5% 8.4% 9.8% 8.1% 7.2% 9.6% 8.7% 8.9% 7.9% 7.1% 7.6% 4.5% 2.4% 1.1% 0.2%
William Hutchings 13.4% 13.8% 13.2% 11.1% 10.5% 9.5% 8.5% 7.3% 4.6% 3.2% 3.0% 1.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.1%
Hunter Mumma 6.7% 6.3% 8.1% 8.1% 8.6% 8.9% 9.0% 7.7% 8.8% 7.5% 7.4% 6.2% 4.4% 1.9% 0.4%
Christopher Edwards 2.3% 2.3% 2.9% 3.1% 3.5% 4.3% 4.4% 4.4% 7.6% 6.8% 10.7% 10.8% 14.6% 15.5% 6.8%
Ryan Hughes 6.5% 7.8% 8.7% 9.6% 8.6% 8.5% 7.7% 8.4% 10.2% 8.1% 7.0% 4.9% 3.2% 0.7% 0.1%
Charlotte Skinner 1.2% 1.4% 2.1% 2.5% 3.2% 2.2% 2.6% 3.5% 4.1% 6.5% 7.3% 12.7% 15.5% 21.6% 13.6%
Joshua Revkin 0.5% 0.9% 0.3% 0.6% 0.6% 1.2% 1.3% 1.3% 1.9% 2.5% 3.0% 6.0% 7.1% 16.0% 56.8%
Tyler Nemsdale 1.4% 2.4% 2.2% 2.6% 2.4% 3.0% 3.3% 2.9% 6.3% 6.0% 8.0% 9.2% 15.9% 21.2% 13.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.