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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.9%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
26
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Cruz0.91+4.08vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Cruz1.45+1.18vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley-0.09+5.86vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Cruz0.17+3.16vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.48+10.60vs Predicted
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6University of California at Irvine-1.42+10.64vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-0.87+6.21vs Predicted
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8California State University Monterey Bay-1.32+7.35vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Cruz0.07-1.11vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.94+4.16vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego-1.35+4.82vs Predicted
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12University of California at Los Angeles-0.94+0.55vs Predicted
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13University of California at Berkeley-0.75-0.86vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego-1.47+1.57vs Predicted
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15San Diego State University-0.91-2.43vs Predicted
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16-1.22-1.56vs Predicted
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17Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.74-5.60vs Predicted
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18San Diego State University-1.24-2.86vs Predicted
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19Santa Clara University-1.92-0.64vs Predicted
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20University of California at Los Angeles-1.09-5.32vs Predicted
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21San Diego State University-1.18-6.90vs Predicted
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22University of California at Davis-1.48-6.11vs Predicted
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23University of California at Irvine-1.36-6.71vs Predicted
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24Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.78-6.42vs Predicted
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25California State University Channel Islands-1.81-7.40vs Predicted
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26Arizona State University-2.21-6.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.08University of California at Santa Cruz0.9114.0%1st Place
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3.18University of California at Santa Cruz1.4527.9%1st Place
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8.86University of California at Berkeley-0.095.5%1st Place
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7.16University of California at Santa Cruz0.177.6%1st Place
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15.6Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.481.4%1st Place
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16.64University of California at Irvine-1.421.5%1st Place
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13.21University of California at San Diego-0.872.3%1st Place
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15.35California State University Monterey Bay-1.321.5%1st Place
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7.89University of California at Santa Cruz0.076.9%1st Place
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14.16Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.942.2%1st Place
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15.82University of California at San Diego-1.351.4%1st Place
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12.55University of California at Los Angeles-0.942.9%1st Place
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12.14University of California at Berkeley-0.752.9%1st Place
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15.57University of California at San Diego-1.471.8%1st Place
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12.57San Diego State University-0.913.0%1st Place
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14.44-1.221.9%1st Place
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11.4Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.743.2%1st Place
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15.14San Diego State University-1.241.9%1st Place
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18.36Santa Clara University-1.920.6%1st Place
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14.68University of California at Los Angeles-1.091.8%1st Place
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14.1San Diego State University-1.181.7%1st Place
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15.89University of California at Davis-1.481.4%1st Place
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16.29University of California at Irvine-1.361.1%1st Place
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17.58Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.781.4%1st Place
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17.6California State University Channel Islands-1.811.4%1st Place
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19.76Arizona State University-2.210.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colin Olson | 14.0% | 15.0% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Buster Baylis | 27.9% | 20.8% | 17.1% | 11.4% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Lisle | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Maggie McEachen | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colin Thompson | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.0% |
| Gennis Marie Pilapil | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% |
| Alex Bussey | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.3% |
| Phoebe Liermann | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.9% |
| Caden Domingo | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Briar | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.8% |
| Maximus Suh | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.4% |
| Emre Gurdal | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Connor Fagan | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Nate Powers | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.2% |
| Juan Alcala | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Tony Gao | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.7% |
| Annika Burns | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Giorgianni | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.8% |
| Luca Kennedy | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 10.9% |
| Liam Williams | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 3.0% |
| Joshua Barraza | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.0% |
| James Makler | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 4.7% |
| Matthew Stank | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.1% |
| Pike Williams | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 9.6% |
| Vaughn Russell | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 9.6% |
| Veja Zaprauskis | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 10.8% | 22.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.