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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California State University Channel Islands2.77+3.43vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii2.92+1.99vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University2.45+2.15vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University2.21+1.75vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California2.47+0.11vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara2.49-0.96vs Predicted
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7University of Hawaii1.88-0.48vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley1.71-1.06vs Predicted
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9California State University Channel Islands2.77-4.57vs Predicted
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10University of Hawaii1.59-2.76vs Predicted
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11University of Southern California1.52-3.56vs Predicted
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12University of California at Berkeley0.92-2.98vs Predicted
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13University of British Columbia-0.77-1.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.43California State University Channel Islands2.770.1%1st Place
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3.99University of Hawaii2.920.2%1st Place
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5.15Salve Regina University2.450.1%1st Place
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5.75Salve Regina University2.210.1%1st Place
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5.11University of Southern California2.470.1%1st Place
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5.04University of California at Santa Barbara2.490.1%1st Place
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6.52University of Hawaii1.880.1%1st Place
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6.94University of California at Berkeley1.710.1%1st Place
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4.43California State University Channel Islands2.770.1%1st Place
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7.24University of Hawaii1.590.0%1st Place
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7.44University of Southern California1.520.1%1st Place
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9.02University of California at Berkeley0.920.0%1st Place
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11.36University of British Columbia-0.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gregory Dair | 14.9% | 13.5% | 13.0% | 13.6% | 12.6% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Chuck Eaton | 17.6% | 17.3% | 15.2% | 12.2% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Silvestri | 12.5% | 9.6% | 12.1% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 6.8% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 7.6% | 3.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| John Coakley | 10.8% | 12.4% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cobi Allen | 11.7% | 12.3% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 2.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jeremy Hitchcock | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 11.7% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 8.4% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Hays | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 12.2% | 13.8% | 10.9% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Dair | 14.9% | 13.5% | 13.0% | 13.6% | 12.6% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Louise Currie | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 14.0% | 15.0% | 12.1% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Kendall Sanson | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 14.1% | 15.6% | 14.4% | 3.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Markowitz | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 15.2% | 32.0% | 10.9% | 0.0% |
| Ashley-Belle Burns | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 8.7% | 79.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.