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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California State University Channel Islands2.77+3.42vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii2.92+2.01vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University2.45+2.18vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii1.88+2.71vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California1.52+2.47vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California2.47-0.89vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University2.21-1.36vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley0.92+0.81vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Barbara2.49-4.14vs Predicted
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10California State University Channel Islands2.77-5.58vs Predicted
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11University of California at Berkeley1.71-4.02vs Predicted
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12University of British Columbia-0.77-0.66vs Predicted
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13University of Hawaii1.59-5.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.42California State University Channel Islands2.770.2%1st Place
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4.01University of Hawaii2.920.2%1st Place
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5.18Salve Regina University2.450.1%1st Place
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6.71University of Hawaii1.880.1%1st Place
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7.47University of Southern California1.520.0%1st Place
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5.11University of Southern California2.470.1%1st Place
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5.64Salve Regina University2.210.1%1st Place
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8.81University of California at Berkeley0.920.0%1st Place
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4.86University of California at Santa Barbara2.490.1%1st Place
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4.42California State University Channel Islands2.770.2%1st Place
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6.98University of California at Berkeley1.710.1%1st Place
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11.34University of British Columbia-0.770.0%1st Place
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7.46University of Hawaii1.590.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gregory Dair | 15.2% | 13.0% | 13.9% | 12.9% | 13.0% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chuck Eaton | 17.1% | 18.6% | 13.9% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Silvestri | 12.0% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jeremy Hitchcock | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 12.8% | 12.1% | 8.6% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Kendall Sanson | 4.1% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 13.3% | 15.0% | 15.8% | 2.8% | 0.0% |
| John Coakley | 11.7% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 10.3% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 7.3% | 3.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Ian Markowitz | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 14.8% | 31.3% | 10.3% | 0.0% |
| Cobi Allen | 10.7% | 13.2% | 13.8% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Dair | 15.2% | 13.0% | 13.9% | 12.9% | 13.0% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Hays | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 10.6% | 12.2% | 11.9% | 13.6% | 10.5% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Ashley-Belle Burns | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 9.1% | 79.2% | 0.0% |
| Louise Currie | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 13.1% | 12.4% | 15.4% | 14.1% | 3.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.