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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii2.92+3.05vs Predicted
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2California State University Channel Islands2.77+2.32vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley1.71+4.10vs Predicted
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4California State University Channel Islands2.77+0.32vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii1.88+1.61vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University2.21-0.23vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California2.47-1.93vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University2.45-2.92vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Barbara2.49-4.04vs Predicted
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10University of Hawaii1.59-2.78vs Predicted
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11University of California at Berkeley0.92-2.16vs Predicted
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12University of Southern California1.52-4.35vs Predicted
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13University of British Columbia-0.77-1.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.05University of Hawaii2.920.2%1st Place
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4.32California State University Channel Islands2.770.1%1st Place
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7.1University of California at Berkeley1.710.1%1st Place
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4.32California State University Channel Islands2.770.1%1st Place
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6.61University of Hawaii1.880.1%1st Place
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5.77Salve Regina University2.210.1%1st Place
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5.07University of Southern California2.470.1%1st Place
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5.08Salve Regina University2.450.1%1st Place
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4.96University of California at Santa Barbara2.490.1%1st Place
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7.22University of Hawaii1.590.0%1st Place
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8.84University of California at Berkeley0.920.0%1st Place
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7.65University of Southern California1.520.0%1st Place
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11.34University of British Columbia-0.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chuck Eaton | 16.7% | 15.5% | 16.2% | 13.7% | 11.8% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Dair | 15.0% | 15.6% | 14.3% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Hays | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 13.6% | 14.0% | 11.8% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Dair | 15.0% | 15.6% | 14.3% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jeremy Hitchcock | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 11.4% | 8.2% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| John Coakley | 10.6% | 13.0% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| John Silvestri | 12.0% | 11.0% | 12.5% | 10.8% | 11.4% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cobi Allen | 13.6% | 12.2% | 11.4% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Louise Currie | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 11.6% | 12.3% | 16.3% | 11.1% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Ian Markowitz | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 15.2% | 30.7% | 10.5% | 0.0% |
| Kendall Sanson | 3.8% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 11.7% | 16.5% | 16.1% | 3.9% | 0.0% |
| Ashley-Belle Burns | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 8.6% | 79.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.