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📊 Prediction Accuracy
15.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University2.45+4.18vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley0.92+6.93vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara2.49+2.01vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii1.88+2.63vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California2.47+0.13vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California1.52+1.51vs Predicted
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7California State University Channel Islands2.77-2.68vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University2.21-2.33vs Predicted
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9University of Hawaii2.92-5.16vs Predicted
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10University of Hawaii1.59-2.75vs Predicted
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12California State University Channel Islands2.77-7.68vs Predicted
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13University of California at Berkeley1.71-5.81vs Predicted
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14University of British Columbia-0.77-2.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.18Salve Regina University2.450.1%1st Place
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8.93University of California at Berkeley0.920.0%1st Place
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5.01University of California at Santa Barbara2.490.1%1st Place
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6.63University of Hawaii1.880.1%1st Place
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5.13University of Southern California2.470.1%1st Place
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7.51University of Southern California1.520.0%1st Place
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4.32California State University Channel Islands2.770.2%1st Place
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5.67Salve Regina University2.210.1%1st Place
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3.84University of Hawaii2.920.2%1st Place
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7.25University of Hawaii1.590.1%1st Place
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4.32California State University Channel Islands2.770.2%1st Place
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7.19University of California at Berkeley1.710.0%1st Place
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11.34University of British Columbia-0.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Silvestri | 11.3% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 11.4% | 12.9% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ian Markowitz | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 15.9% | 31.7% | 10.3% | 0.0% |
| Cobi Allen | 12.4% | 10.1% | 13.3% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeremy Hitchcock | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 12.8% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 8.1% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| John Coakley | 10.7% | 12.2% | 11.3% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Kendall Sanson | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 14.1% | 14.2% | 15.0% | 3.6% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Dair | 15.4% | 15.9% | 12.5% | 14.5% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 9.5% | 11.1% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 9.7% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Chuck Eaton | 18.0% | 18.4% | 15.4% | 12.5% | 11.8% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Louise Currie | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 13.0% | 16.7% | 11.5% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Dair | 15.4% | 15.9% | 12.5% | 14.5% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Hays | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 16.0% | 11.1% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Ashley-Belle Burns | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 9.1% | 78.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.