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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii2.92+3.08vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University2.45+3.17vs Predicted
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3California State University Channel Islands2.77+1.35vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara2.49+1.07vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California2.47+0.09vs Predicted
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6California State University Channel Islands2.77-1.65vs Predicted
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7University of Hawaii1.88-0.32vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley0.92+0.84vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley1.71-2.07vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University2.21-4.42vs Predicted
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11University of Southern California1.52-3.52vs Predicted
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12University of British Columbia-0.77-0.66vs Predicted
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13University of Hawaii1.59-5.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.08University of Hawaii2.920.2%1st Place
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5.17Salve Regina University2.450.1%1st Place
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4.35California State University Channel Islands2.770.2%1st Place
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5.07University of California at Santa Barbara2.490.1%1st Place
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5.09University of Southern California2.470.1%1st Place
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4.35California State University Channel Islands2.770.2%1st Place
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6.68University of Hawaii1.880.1%1st Place
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8.84University of California at Berkeley0.920.0%1st Place
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6.93University of California at Berkeley1.710.1%1st Place
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5.58Salve Regina University2.210.1%1st Place
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7.48University of Southern California1.520.1%1st Place
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11.34University of British Columbia-0.770.0%1st Place
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7.4University of Hawaii1.590.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chuck Eaton | 16.9% | 16.1% | 14.6% | 13.6% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| John Silvestri | 10.1% | 12.5% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Dair | 16.6% | 13.5% | 13.3% | 12.2% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cobi Allen | 10.0% | 12.3% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 13.1% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| John Coakley | 11.7% | 11.0% | 12.4% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 11.4% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Dair | 16.6% | 13.5% | 13.3% | 12.2% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeremy Hitchcock | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 10.6% | 12.2% | 12.3% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Ian Markowitz | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 16.2% | 30.6% | 10.3% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Hays | 6.9% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 13.2% | 13.2% | 10.8% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 8.4% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 3.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Kendall Sanson | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 15.7% | 15.2% | 3.6% | 0.0% |
| Ashley-Belle Burns | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 9.1% | 78.7% | 0.0% |
| Louise Currie | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 15.7% | 15.6% | 12.1% | 2.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.