← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Southern California2.47+4.18vs Predicted
-
2University of California at Santa Barbara2.49+2.98vs Predicted
-
3University of Hawaii1.88+3.58vs Predicted
-
4California State University Channel Islands2.77+0.37vs Predicted
-
5California State University Channel Islands2.77-0.63vs Predicted
-
6Salve Regina University2.21-0.21vs Predicted
-
7University of Hawaii1.59+0.33vs Predicted
-
8University of Hawaii2.92-4.03vs Predicted
-
9Salve Regina University2.45-3.90vs Predicted
-
10University of Southern California1.52-2.60vs Predicted
-
11University of California at Berkeley1.71-4.07vs Predicted
-
12University of California at Berkeley0.92-2.99vs Predicted
-
13University of British Columbia-0.77-1.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.18University of Southern California2.470.1%1st Place
-
4.98University of California at Santa Barbara2.490.1%1st Place
-
6.58University of Hawaii1.880.1%1st Place
-
4.37California State University Channel Islands2.770.1%1st Place
-
4.37California State University Channel Islands2.770.1%1st Place
-
5.79Salve Regina University2.210.1%1st Place
-
7.33University of Hawaii1.590.0%1st Place
-
3.97University of Hawaii2.920.2%1st Place
-
5.1Salve Regina University2.450.1%1st Place
-
7.4University of Southern California1.520.0%1st Place
-
6.93University of California at Berkeley1.710.1%1st Place
-
9.01University of California at Berkeley0.920.0%1st Place
-
11.34University of British Columbia-0.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Coakley | 11.0% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 12.6% | 12.2% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Cobi Allen | 10.9% | 12.3% | 12.8% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 9.3% | 11.4% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jeremy Hitchcock | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 11.9% | 12.9% | 11.5% | 7.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Dair | 14.4% | 15.7% | 13.7% | 12.4% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Dair | 14.4% | 15.7% | 13.7% | 12.4% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 8.7% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 5.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Louise Currie | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 12.6% | 16.9% | 12.5% | 2.6% | 0.0% |
| Chuck Eaton | 18.8% | 17.1% | 14.5% | 12.3% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| John Silvestri | 12.7% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Kendall Sanson | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 13.3% | 13.4% | 15.2% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Hays | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 11.3% | 12.5% | 12.7% | 11.2% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Markowitz | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 17.0% | 30.5% | 11.7% | 0.0% |
| Ashley-Belle Burns | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 3.9% | 8.1% | 79.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.