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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii1.88+5.69vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University2.21+3.78vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii2.92+1.02vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara2.49+1.05vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California1.52+2.53vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California2.47-0.89vs Predicted
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7California State University Channel Islands2.77-2.76vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley1.71-1.06vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University2.45-4.01vs Predicted
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10California State University Channel Islands2.77-5.76vs Predicted
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11University of California at Berkeley0.92-2.18vs Predicted
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13University of Hawaii1.59-5.50vs Predicted
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14University of British Columbia-0.77-2.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.69University of Hawaii1.880.1%1st Place
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5.78Salve Regina University2.210.1%1st Place
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4.02University of Hawaii2.920.2%1st Place
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5.05University of California at Santa Barbara2.490.1%1st Place
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7.53University of Southern California1.520.0%1st Place
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5.11University of Southern California2.470.1%1st Place
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4.24California State University Channel Islands2.770.2%1st Place
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6.94University of California at Berkeley1.710.1%1st Place
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4.99Salve Regina University2.450.1%1st Place
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4.24California State University Channel Islands2.770.2%1st Place
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8.82University of California at Berkeley0.920.0%1st Place
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7.5University of Hawaii1.590.0%1st Place
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11.34University of British Columbia-0.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Hitchcock | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 12.6% | 12.1% | 8.9% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 7.8% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 11.7% | 10.1% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Chuck Eaton | 19.2% | 15.4% | 13.4% | 12.1% | 12.1% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cobi Allen | 10.0% | 12.1% | 13.5% | 11.4% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Kendall Sanson | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 10.8% | 11.4% | 14.7% | 16.9% | 3.3% | 0.0% |
| John Coakley | 12.7% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 11.7% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Dair | 16.0% | 18.3% | 12.4% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Hays | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 12.3% | 14.4% | 10.1% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| John Silvestri | 10.1% | 11.2% | 14.5% | 12.2% | 11.9% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Dair | 16.0% | 18.3% | 12.4% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Markowitz | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 15.1% | 30.3% | 10.2% | 0.0% |
| Louise Currie | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 13.6% | 15.1% | 14.0% | 3.2% | 0.0% |
| Ashley-Belle Burns | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 8.9% | 78.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.