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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.49+3.92vs Predicted
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2California State University Channel Islands2.77+2.15vs Predicted
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3California State University Channel Islands2.77+1.15vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii2.92-0.15vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University2.45-0.05vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California2.47-1.06vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University2.21-1.42vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley1.71-1.26vs Predicted
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9University of Southern California1.52-1.81vs Predicted
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10University of Hawaii0.97-1.47vs Predicted
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11University of California at Berkeley0.92-2.40vs Predicted
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12University of Hawaii1.59-4.72vs Predicted
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14University of British Columbia-0.77-2.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.92University of California at Santa Barbara2.490.1%1st Place
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4.15California State University Channel Islands2.770.2%1st Place
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4.15California State University Channel Islands2.770.2%1st Place
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3.85University of Hawaii2.920.2%1st Place
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4.95Salve Regina University2.450.1%1st Place
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4.94University of Southern California2.470.1%1st Place
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5.58Salve Regina University2.210.1%1st Place
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6.74University of California at Berkeley1.710.1%1st Place
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7.19University of Southern California1.520.1%1st Place
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8.53University of Hawaii0.970.0%1st Place
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8.6University of California at Berkeley0.920.0%1st Place
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7.28University of Hawaii1.590.0%1st Place
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11.26University of British Columbia-0.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cobi Allen | 11.5% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 12.3% | 13.5% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Dair | 15.8% | 16.9% | 13.6% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Dair | 15.8% | 16.9% | 13.6% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chuck Eaton | 19.4% | 16.2% | 15.9% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Silvestri | 10.5% | 12.5% | 12.7% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| John Coakley | 11.6% | 12.9% | 11.6% | 12.3% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 9.1% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 3.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Hays | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 13.3% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Kendall Sanson | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 12.3% | 13.5% | 14.3% | 10.8% | 3.3% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Kobylinski | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 13.0% | 17.5% | 24.3% | 6.1% | 0.0% |
| Ian Markowitz | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 17.2% | 25.1% | 9.2% | 0.0% |
| Louise Currie | 4.3% | 3.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 14.2% | 14.1% | 11.5% | 2.8% | 0.0% |
| Ashley-Belle Burns | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 10.3% | 75.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.