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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California State University Channel Islands2.77+3.25vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii2.92+1.86vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University2.45+1.98vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California2.47+0.92vs Predicted
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5California State University Channel Islands2.77-0.75vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii1.59+1.15vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley1.71-0.15vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Barbara2.49-3.24vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley0.92-0.38vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University2.21-4.58vs Predicted
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11University of Hawaii0.97-2.49vs Predicted
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12University of Southern California1.52-4.59vs Predicted
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14University of British Columbia-0.77-2.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.25California State University Channel Islands2.770.2%1st Place
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3.86University of Hawaii2.920.2%1st Place
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4.98Salve Regina University2.450.1%1st Place
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4.92University of Southern California2.470.1%1st Place
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4.25California State University Channel Islands2.770.2%1st Place
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7.15University of Hawaii1.590.1%1st Place
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6.85University of California at Berkeley1.710.1%1st Place
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4.76University of California at Santa Barbara2.490.1%1st Place
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8.62University of California at Berkeley0.920.0%1st Place
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5.42Salve Regina University2.210.1%1st Place
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8.51University of Hawaii0.970.0%1st Place
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7.41University of Southern California1.520.0%1st Place
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11.27University of British Columbia-0.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gregory Dair | 16.0% | 13.7% | 13.0% | 15.8% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chuck Eaton | 18.9% | 18.0% | 13.7% | 12.6% | 11.2% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Silvestri | 12.5% | 10.4% | 12.4% | 9.5% | 12.4% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Coakley | 9.9% | 12.7% | 13.3% | 12.6% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Dair | 16.0% | 13.7% | 13.0% | 15.8% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Louise Currie | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 13.1% | 14.2% | 11.5% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Hays | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 13.2% | 13.8% | 12.1% | 8.9% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Cobi Allen | 13.4% | 12.5% | 11.5% | 13.8% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Markowitz | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 13.0% | 15.9% | 25.3% | 9.4% | 0.0% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 8.0% | 9.9% | 12.4% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 13.4% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Kobylinski | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 12.2% | 18.8% | 22.9% | 8.1% | 0.0% |
| Kendall Sanson | 4.4% | 3.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 12.1% | 14.4% | 14.5% | 11.7% | 3.3% | 0.0% |
| Ashley-Belle Burns | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 11.6% | 74.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.