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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University2.08+4.48vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii1.74+4.28vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara2.96+0.43vs Predicted
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5Boston University2.81-1.32vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii2.32-1.18vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California2.33-2.21vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley1.62-1.52vs Predicted
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9University of Hawaii1.65-2.60vs Predicted
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10University of Southern California0.78-1.52vs Predicted
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11University of California at Berkeley1.09-3.26vs Predicted
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12California State University Channel Islands0.37-2.52vs Predicted
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13California State University Channel Islands0.37-3.52vs Predicted
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14University of British Columbia-0.62-3.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.48Salve Regina University2.080.1%1st Place
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6.28University of Hawaii1.740.1%1st Place
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3.43University of California at Santa Barbara2.960.2%1st Place
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3.68Boston University2.810.2%1st Place
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4.82University of Hawaii2.320.1%1st Place
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4.79University of Southern California2.330.1%1st Place
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6.48University of California at Berkeley1.620.1%1st Place
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6.4University of Hawaii1.650.1%1st Place
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8.48University of Southern California0.780.0%1st Place
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7.74University of California at Berkeley1.090.0%1st Place
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9.48California State University Channel Islands0.370.0%1st Place
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9.48California State University Channel Islands0.370.0%1st Place
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10.95University of British Columbia-0.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shannon Killian | 9.2% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 13.8% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caitlin Schadt | 5.3% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 11.7% | 13.5% | 12.1% | 8.1% | 4.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Alexandria Ivory | 22.5% | 18.1% | 16.6% | 13.2% | 12.5% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Welsh | 17.8% | 20.1% | 16.1% | 13.8% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Giacomo Paoletti | 10.8% | 12.8% | 13.6% | 12.3% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Peter Wong | 12.7% | 10.9% | 12.8% | 12.5% | 12.1% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyra Oakes | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Mackenzie Cook | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 11.7% | 14.0% | 8.9% | 5.2% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Gebelein | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 13.5% | 17.6% | 21.1% | 7.1% | 0.0% |
| Eric Witte | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 11.2% | 13.9% | 17.3% | 14.4% | 4.3% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Tedmori | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 9.9% | 17.0% | 27.4% | 20.5% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Tedmori | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 9.9% | 17.0% | 27.4% | 20.5% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Thielcke | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 7.0% | 16.7% | 63.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.