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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii1.65+5.58vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.81+1.74vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley1.62+3.58vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara2.96-1.52vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California2.33-1.18vs Predicted
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7University of Hawaii2.32-2.13vs Predicted
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8California State University Channel Islands0.37+1.23vs Predicted
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9University of Hawaii1.74-2.84vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University2.08-4.76vs Predicted
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11California State University Channel Islands0.37-1.77vs Predicted
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12University of California at Berkeley1.09-4.24vs Predicted
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13University of British Columbia-0.62-2.04vs Predicted
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14University of Southern California0.78-5.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.58University of Hawaii1.650.1%1st Place
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3.74Boston University2.810.2%1st Place
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6.58University of California at Berkeley1.620.1%1st Place
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3.48University of California at Santa Barbara2.960.2%1st Place
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4.82University of Southern California2.330.1%1st Place
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4.87University of Hawaii2.320.1%1st Place
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9.23California State University Channel Islands0.370.0%1st Place
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6.16University of Hawaii1.740.1%1st Place
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5.24Salve Regina University2.080.1%1st Place
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9.23California State University Channel Islands0.370.0%1st Place
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7.76University of California at Berkeley1.090.0%1st Place
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10.96University of British Columbia-0.620.0%1st Place
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8.59University of Southern California0.780.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mackenzie Cook | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 12.3% | 11.9% | 13.7% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Charles Welsh | 17.2% | 19.8% | 14.9% | 15.2% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyra Oakes | 7.2% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 13.4% | 12.2% | 11.9% | 5.3% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Alexandria Ivory | 20.6% | 19.9% | 17.5% | 12.8% | 10.5% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Wong | 11.8% | 11.5% | 12.7% | 14.0% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Giacomo Paoletti | 12.3% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 14.2% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Tedmori | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 10.6% | 16.0% | 27.8% | 17.4% | 0.0% |
| Caitlin Schadt | 7.7% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 12.9% | 8.2% | 4.4% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Shannon Killian | 8.3% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 11.3% | 13.6% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Tedmori | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 10.6% | 16.0% | 27.8% | 17.4% | 0.0% |
| Eric Witte | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 14.1% | 16.0% | 14.1% | 5.5% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Thielcke | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 6.2% | 17.0% | 63.2% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Gebelein | 2.6% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 11.5% | 20.2% | 20.4% | 9.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.